Thursday, July 21, 2016

That is the precise point! Sir - 3

"There is no substitute for the comfort supplied by the utterly taken-for-granted relationship."
—Iris Murdoch (Irish, 1919-1999)
Word for the day
Tweedle (v)
To lure by music, e.g., The Pied Piper tweedled the children into following him.
Malice towards none
Mohd. Shahid was truly a magician with the stick.
I am fortunate that he guided me once when I was in junior camp. The stick gifted by him, after I played with him for 45minutes, is still my most precious possession.
First random thought this morning
Sachin Tendulkar's act of seeking favor from a minister for his friend raises three pertinent questions:
(a)   Does the process for selecting Bharat Ratna awardees need to be overhauled. May the highest honor be conferred only posthumously?
(b)   Should the elected representatives who do not conduct themselves in accordance with the constitutional oath of office to act "without affection or ill-will" and "without fear or favor", be barred from public life and tried for sedition?
(c)    Why the ROI (return on investment) for elected representatives should be greater than Zero?

That is the precise point! Sir - 3

As I highlighted yesterday (see here) government, planning administration and the monetary regulator all fully appreciate the skewed structure of the inflation. They must also have realized that the impact of inflation is not uniform for different segments of the society. Unfortunately, this knowledge and understanding is not adequately reflected in their actions.
Ostensibly, both the monetary and fiscal policies have focused either on the:
(a)    Miniscule top end of the spectrum that has led to perilous widening of socio-economic inequalities and added little to the sustainability of economic growth. In each business and economic cycle we see this section coming under stress rather easily, seek even more assistance from the government, and bring the financial system to the brink; or
(b)    The large, vulnerable and politically relevant bottom of the spectrum. Historically, most of these efforts have occurred without building robust delivery mechanism; have been based on ad hoc policies driven by electoral considerations; and has led to dissipation of scarce resources.
       Though, in recent times, efforts have been made to improve delivery mechanism through financial inclusion (JAM, DBT) and use of technology (UID) etc.
       This effort will certainly bear fruit in future. But if ad hocism and electoral consideration continue to dominate, the results may still not be optimal.
The consequences are for everyone to see. None of the segments is satisfied.
The question is what is the way out. In my view, a combination of the following could work:
(a)   Minimize capital controls. Allow foreign capital to move freely in all sectors. Make policies stable, predictable and friendly. Support competitive domestic businesses to grow and let the uncompetitive domestic businesses to fail.
(b)   Provide necessary escape velocity to the middle and lower middle class households by leaving more cash in their hands for consumption and investment. High quality public health, education and transportation would help in a big way. Subsidized housing and lower taxes are must.
(c)    Make a comprehensive long term sustainable support system for the bottom of the pyramid. Improving delivery mechanism, and targeting subsidies is quintessential. Make a legislation that prevents a political party claiming exclusive credit for whatever it has done with the public money. Let them claim credit for what they have achieved through spending from party funds. This may take electoral consideration out of fiscal policies.
(d)   Encourage Indian entrepreneurs to lease manufacturing facilities in China for producing consumer goods to be sold exclusively in India at cheaper rate. Local manufacturing should focus on high tech, high value add industries and services.

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