Thursday, June 30, 2016

Blind Men and the Elephant-3

"Tall men come down to my height when I hit 'em in the body."
— Jack Dempsey (American, 1895-1983)
Word for the day
Rib-tickling (adj)
Very amusing; funny or hilarious
Malice towards none
Pope says Sorry to LGBTs for all the discrimination faced by them in the past.
Pakistan clerics declare transgender marriages acceptable.
Indian Supreme Court agrees to hear petition challenging Sec377.
The change is in the air. And it's not a small one.
First random thought this morning
The recent spike in mindless killings by certain terrorist groups is an indication of the success of global war on terror. The desperation amongst radicals is conspicuous.
It is high time that the united offensive is intensified to fully neutralize these elements.
But in the interim, it is critical that various local administrations and people cooperate closely to step the vigil and help the armed forces in minimizing the civilian damage.

Blind Men and the Elephant-3

I believe, viewing UK's decision to terminate its present arrangement with EU as a problem may not be appropriate.
This view might be appropriate for a handful of bankers located in London, and even smaller number of investors who have invested in London real estate.
In larger picture, this referendum should be viewed as an attempt to find solution to some of the key problems that Europe currently faces, viz.,
(1)   Lack of a clear leadership. Britain had lost its place at the top with end of cold war. In three decades since then it has mostly failed in taking lead in any issue of global importance and played just a second fiddle to USA. Rise in strategic and economic powers of countries like China and India, emergence of ECB as a key pillar of global financial stability, and consistent decline in its economy led to the diminishing of its historical stature.
       Unwillingness (or unacceptability?) of Germany to don the mantle has left Europe behind in global strategic order.
(2)   Poor economic conditions. Despite all the efforts and non-conventional policies, the economic growth in Europe has failed to show any improvement. Employment conditions remain poor and economic and regional disparities are rising faster than ever leading to serious discontentment amongst people, including in larger jurisdictions like France, Spain, Italy and UK.
(3)   Worsening demographics. A large number of European countries have witnessed declining population growth rate in past two decades. Rise in the proportion of old and dependent population has been a cause of worry for most governments, as fiscal pressure are rising.
       This juxtaposed with negative return on savings is becoming an epic disaster for old savers and pensioners.
       Moreover, radical change in the ethnic and religious mix of conservative European jurisdictions due to free movement and large influx of refugees from troubled Syria etc. had been a cause of worry.
(4)   Relatively stronger EUR hurting the periphery. A relatively stronger EUR may have helped German exports, but most of peripheral countries, like Greece, are claiming huge losses in market share to Asian competitors.
(5)   Threat perception of rise in fascism. In recent years, due to poor economic conditions, rising disparities, and imbalances in socio-religious demographic mix, politicians subscribing to the extreme left and extreme right political ideologies have risen in importance.
       This brings back the memories of WWII and the consequently threat perception of rise in fascism across the continent.
I view UK referendum as just another endeavor to solve some of these problems. It is certainly not done yet. It is not irreversible, should the outcome be different than as desired...........to continue
 

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