Thursday, April 7, 2016

Battlefield - UP

"Many men go fishing all of their lives without knowing that it is not fish they are after.
—Henry David Thoreau (American, 1817-1862)
Word for the day
Cupidity (n)
Eager or excessive desire, especially to possess something; greed; avarice.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
Rakhi Sawant: Ban ceiling fans to stop suicides.
Rahul Gandhi: Congress is fighting a war of ideology.
 
First random thought this morning
Increasingly, India is finding place in high opinion of global decision makers. After a really long period, global decision makers are enthusiastic about India.
Some may like to split the credit between PM Modi's unprecedented & audacious marketing efforts, and TINA factor (given the poor conditions in other larger emerging markets especially China); while the others believe, it's just that the TIME of India has arrived. Rest everything is just a quirk of fate.
You may chose your reason, but do believe that it may actually happen this time.
Battlefield - UP
My colleagues travelled through the state of Uttar Pradesh during past two weeks. They covered nine out of the eighteen divisions of the state, covering mostly western and central parts of the state.
The objective of the trip was to assess the economic conditions of the state and political mood of the people.
I would like to share some key points of their assessment with my readers.
The State is fast getting into election mode. It appears that the campaign for March 2017 elections will be hard, arduous and intense.
The ruling Samajwadi Party has taken a clear lead in the campaign. The indications so far are that the incumbent Chief Minister is seeking re-election on the basis of delivery on development agenda. The usual secularism and caste based issues are presently being raised only by the principal opposition party BSP and Congress which is a marginal force in the state.
The primary contender, BJP appears confused about the issues. Whereas the central leadership wishes to continue with the "hope and fear" startegy of the Bihar election — hope of faster economic development and fear of jungle raj — the local leadership is highly skeptical of these twin issues. The local leadership is more excited about the communal polarization as primary election strategy.
Unlike SP and BSP which have well defined state leadership , both BJP and Congress are struggling with local leadership issues. It is common to hear the names like Shiela Dixit and Uma Bharati as probable CM candidates.
The state administration is deeply divided on caste line in their political support. But the ruling party could have marginal lead in this area.
Though a division on religious lines is visible across the state, but it may reflect in terms of votes only in upper class Hindu voters. Any polarization strategy therefore may not be materially effective.
We shall be conducting an extensive survey of the state later in the year to assess the situation of various parties.
Insofar as the economic conditions are concerned, the following observations are noteworthy.
(a)   There is remarkable acceleration in the execution of construction projects, especially roads and public works. The incumbent chief minister seems to personally engaged in the development endeavor and successfully exploiting the central assistance to the state.
(b)   The rural sector is economically stressed due to consecutive poor monsoons. But surprisingly, they are not annoyed with the state administration.
(c)    The urbanization of the state is gathering further pace, though devoid of any planning........to continue tomorrow.

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