Thursday, February 18, 2016

The land of opportunities- II

"Sin cannot be conceived in a natural state, but only in a civil state, where it is decreed by common consent what is good or bad."
—Baruch Spinoza (Dutch, 1632-1677)
Word for the day
Indwell
To abide within, as a guiding force, motivating principle, etc.
Malice towards none
It would be in order to remember that both Bhagat Singh (RSP) and Subhash Chandra Bose (Forward Bloc) were leftists.
Nationalism is not an exclusive domain of rightists.
First random thought this morning
As a father of two children entering their teens, I can appreciate the problems of Indian town planners much better.
You buy them new shoes, and they outgrow these before the boxes are opened. It's like you build a new road or flyover and traffic outgrows it before the construction is complete.
What is the way out? Buy one size large! Buy cheaper stuff! Tell children to wear only slippers till their growth stabilizes! Trust me nothing works.
We have tried all three options on roads - we know nothing works.

The land of opportunities- II

The latest UP chapter of the travelogue of my colleagues confirm a lot of my observations made during my previous trip to the State.
The following observations in particular are relevant for investment strategies.
(a)   Though there is increasing evidence of the economic inequalities abridging. The economic policies of the successive state governments in past couple of decades (usually termed populist, regressive, unproductive, unmindful and socialist in the market jargon) have definitely resulted socio-economic inclusion of a large number of people.
While market economists may struggle to assimilate this, many businesses have already done this. Otherwise how do you explain, (i) Gillette India running a door-to-door promotion campaign for its high end Mach3 razor blades in old city area of Moradabad, traditionally inhabited by poor artisans and laborers; (ii) full house in English speaking coaching center in Badayun, charging Rs350/hour; (iii) over 100 scooties parked outside a girls' degree collage in Gonda; (iv) Zumba classes in down town Varanasi, party & banquet halls in down town Firozabad, (iv) numerous obesity clinics, gyms and slimming centers in almost all towns; (v) numerous private paid car parking plots in old city Bareilly & Agra; (vi) millions of coaching centers spread across urban and rural areas; and (vii) McDonald & Dominos fiercely competing with traditional Samosa shops in holy town of Mathura.
(b)   The state has successfully revived its rich tradition of education. The aspirations are running really high. In a decade the state may overtake all other states in terms of producing professionals in all fields.
       This is explained by seriously rising number of skilled youth going abroad for jobs. In top 10 urban agglomerates, it is difficult to find a lane or by-lane which does not boast of at least one boy/girl working abroad as professional. The number of semi-skilled laborers travelling to gulf is also on the rise.
       UP may seriously outdo southern states or Punjab in terms of inward remittances in next decade or so.
(c)    There are so many monetary incentives to send children to school in UP that it is almost impossible for parents not to send their wards to school.
(d)   UP has plenty of water, arable land and farmers to supply the growing demand for vegetables and fruits. There are visible signs of farmers choosing cash crops over conventional crops. This state may well be the center of the food processing revolution in the country.
(e)    The rooftop solar is spreading like fire in the state. In 5-7 years, power shortages may be history in the state.
(f)    National highways passing through the state are as good as in any other state. The State highways are improving by the hour.
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