Tuesday, February 9, 2016

Douse the fire, and make house fireproof


"They who drink beer will think beer."
—Washington Irving (American, 183-1859)
Word for the day
Alpenglow (n)
A reddish glow often seen on the summits of mountains just before sunrise or just after sunset.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
The reaction of the global community to every misadventure of Kim is a surety that no one is prepared for a bigger war, and it's not happening in foreseeable future.
First random thought this morning
A full scale Sino-Indian partnership can solve many of world's problems today. Capital starved India could benefit from idle factories and decongested ports of China. Demand starved China could benefit from most confident Indian consumers. Indians could learn discipline and austerity from Chinese commoners. Chinese could learn English and democracy from Indians.
With more than one third of global population, they both could together dominate the global markets and politics.
But how do we do away with history of mistrust? Utopian thought...duh!


Douse the fire, and make house fireproof

Continuing with the efforts to protect domestic steel industry, last week the government prescribed minimum import price for 173 steel products.
The primary objective of the measure is to protect domestic steel producers from dumping of cheap produce by global competitors. The collateral benefits will accrue to the banking industry saddled with huge amount of loans to the domestic steel industry.
For an insider the measure might be necessary and unavoidable given the financial stress steel industry is facing and the extent of banking sector exposure to the industry that would have gone bad but for this measure.
But sitting at an arm's length, it appears an act of black mailing and arm twisting by large steel producers, who judged demand growth wrongly and rushed to set up new capacities. No surprises if the bankers who extended huge amount of loans, apparently without due diligence, to these steel czars are also found in cahoots.
Thinking philosophically, prescription of minimum import price for steel products, appears illogical and incongruent with the vision of the government.
First, it is an impediment to the Make in India mission of the government. In words of Engineering Export Promotion Council (EEPC) imposition of minimum import price on certain steel products will have a "serious debilitating" impact on the sectors' exports which are already declining.
The introduction of minimum import price (MIP) on steel products will raise the cost of raw materials for engineering products by about 6-10%, EEPC said in a statement.
"Segments like auto and auto parts, industrial and electrical machinery, products of MSME sector, which in any case have low margins and are facing cut throat competition will face sudden escalation in raw material price, giving a further jolt to the exporters," it added.
The move would also have an inflationary impact on the entire manufacturing sector, it said, adding "the government must provide steel at global competitive prices."
Second, the practice may encourage over-invoicing of imports to evade additional duties. This will defeat the government's mission to minimize the incidence of black money in the economy. Higher cost for domestic economy and flight of capital by way of rise in hawala transactions have been the outcome historically.
Third, and the worst, it may not help the steel industry much as, the measure may result in an inverted duty structure for many engineering products, making import for manufactured items more beneficial rather than importing raw material and making it here.
We have seen similar situation in edible oil and tyres.
...to continue
 

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