Monday, February 8, 2016

Nifty: greed still dominating sentiment

Thought for the day
"I've had it with you and your emotional constipation!"
—Washington Irving (American, 183-1859)
Word for the day
Desiderata (plural noun)
Things wanted or needed; the plural of desideratum.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
The advertizing corporates are turning intolerant towards Amir Khan.
Will a celebrated career end for absolutely wrong reason?
First random thought this morning
A visit to the Auto Expo in Grater NOIDA last weekend made four things clear: (1) The aspirations of young India are really flying high; (2) Indians' preference for larger and better cars is growing with each new model launch; (3) The Indian car market is becoming seriously competitive; and (4) Our administration is seriously unequipped and under-trained for holding large events.
Nifty: greed still dominating sentiment
The current market cycle started in September 2013. Like any other bull market, the broader markets have massively outperformed the benchmark indices in this cycle too.
Though the two corrective phases, one in August-September 2015 and the other in January-February 2016 have reduced the outperformance to some extent, however there is still nothing to suggest that the market cycle that started in summer of 2013 is coming to an end.
Juxtaposed to persistently lower volatility, increasing participation of domestic investors despite consistent FPI selling in past many weeks, good response to IPOs, and mostly positive market breadth, it could be said that greed is still the dominant sentiment in the market and no collapse is imminent, save for a Lehman type global event.
As I highlighted last week, in strict technical sense, Nifty has already secured a midterm bottom around 7200 and looks set for an up move on monthly charts. After trading with higher intraday volatility short term charts have also cooled down a bit. A weekly close above 7610 will set market up for a decent up move. Anything below 7350 is a buying opportunity for me.
 
 
 

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