Wednesday, February 21, 2018

Few random thoughts

Thought for the day
"Forgive, O Lord, my little jokes on Thee, and I'll forgive Thy great big joke on me."
—Robert Frost (American, 1874-1963)
Word for the day
Thewless (adj)
Cowardly; timid
Malice towards none
Teacher: Explain the meaning of "उल्टा चोर कोतवाल को डांटे"!
Student: Nirav Modi accusing PNB of destroying his business.

Few random thoughts



All political parties are blaming each other for every case of corruption, malpractice or impropriety that is coming to light these days.
At the same time, most people are blaming all the political parties for the menace. The distrust in the political establishment is almost complete.
The result is an ominous confluence of cynicism, sadism, frivolity, dissipation, and melancholy in the society. It is tough to fathom a situation more unfortunate and more grim for the future of democracy and democratic traditions of the country.
The good part is that things were almost the same in 1975-1976, 1988-89, 1994-1995, 2011-2013. After each episode the democracy emerged stronger, economy emerged stronger and markets performed much better after the dust settled.
With this background, I may share some random thoughts with the readers:
(a)   The Indian equity market looks bad this morning. It is likely to worsen significantly from the current level in next 12months or so. This could be an opportunity for investors to position themselves for the dawn that will inevitably follow the gloomy dark.
(b)   Speaking to numerous businessmen, bureaucrats, and entrepreneurs, I have realized one thing that the cases of politicians corrupting businessmen, bureaucrats and entrepreneurs may be few and far between. Whereas the vice versa is mostly true.
The general practice is that a businessmen makes an indecent proposal to an amenable politician and the business as usual follows. Usually the corruptible bureaucrats are used as a conduit between ingenious businessmen and opportunist politician.
So, blaming the entire political establishment while signaling out only the businessmen/bureaucrats who got caught may not be sufficient, if we are at all interested in finding a solution to this menace.
The corrective process may need to start from the root cause of corruption (greed and selfishness of people in general). Till then we shall continue to see more episodes of the same soap opera.
(c)    In a limited liability company the liability of equity shareholders is limited to the amount of capital invested by them in the company. In case of winding up or liquidation, they have right to receive a proportionate share in the residual value left after satisfying all the liabilities.
However, in certain circumstances involving fraud etc., the courts have the right to lift the corporate veil and remove the protection of limited liabilities. So far the cases in which the corporate veil has been lifted, have implicated the key managerial personnel from the promoter group.
The points to ponder are:
(i)    If it can be proved that the fact of fraud etc., was highlight in annual report of a company and discussed at its AGM, what stops the court from treating all equity shareholders of such company as accomplice and extending their liability beyond !!!
(ii)   How many individual investors, who have invested in publically traded equity shares, are aware that even if one in a billion, but there is a chance that they may be called upon to contribute more than the money they have already paid for buying the equity shares of a company, to satisfy company's liabilities in case of a fraud.
(iii)  In many of the bankruptcy cases, the residual value left for equity shareholders may be zero or even negative. Many cases may be resolved just by stripping off the assets of the defaulting company, leaving nothing for the equity shareholders. In most cases expect the capital to be written off.
                Wonder why a small investor would take so much risk and invest in these companies at this juncture. Someone needs to tell them that lotteries have one in 10million chance to go in their favor.


No comments:

Post a Comment