Tuesday, February 20, 2018

Well, it's investors' problem!

"I hold it to be the inalienable right of anybody to go to hell in his own way."
—Robert Frost (American, 1874-1963)
Word for the day
Bossdom (n)
The status, influence, or power of a boss, especially a political boss.
Malice towards none
..in the meantime Imran Khan loses his "most eligible bachelor" status for the third time!
 
First random thought this morning
BJP has totally snubbed the Canadian PM on a state visit to India.
The all embracing PM Modi did not go to the airport to receive the Canadian head of state, something he has done for heads of much lesser states. Even UP CM did not accompany the Trudeau on their visit to the Taj Mahal.
The indifference is reportedly due to his perceived support for Sikh separatists in his country. But then our PM did embraced Pakistan PM on more than one occassion.

Well, it's investors' problem!

Almost every day a new multi crore fraud is coming to light. Many more will get highlighted as more and more resolution requests are made by beleaguered lenders under new bankruptcy law.
Many yet to be caught "willful" defaulters are also actively seeking refuge under the protective umbrella of the new legislation.
If investors did not anticipate this, it may be their problem, to some extent.
If someone did anticipate the crisis and realized that the conditions shall materially worsen before the self corrective process envisioned under the new resolution mechanism begins to work properly , but waited for a miracle or a greater fool to come forward to buy his/her junk stocks, well that is largely his/her problem.
If someone had bought PSU bank stocks on 25th and 26th October, 2017 (paying 30-60% higher price as compared to closing price on 24th October, 2017), based purely on the government promise to provide additional capital to these banks, indubitably, the fault lies totally at his/her doorsteps.
For records yesterday, in less than four months, the PSU Bank Index (NIFTY PSUBANK) has corrected below the closing level of 24th October 2017, thus erasing all the gains recorded post announcement of bank recapitalization.
The market perhaps has realized that the yet to be infused capital might have already been lost


The worst part is that there has been Zilch effort by the market regulator, SROs and analyst community to guide investors that the almost all cases referred to NCLT so far are likely to end up in 30-60% haircut for lenders. Equity investors in these firms stand NO CHANCE to get any residual value.
The equity shares of these firms are not only trading, but trading at much higher prices than these were prior to NCLT reference!!!....more tomorrow

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