Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Strategy update - II

"Vanity working on a weak head, produces every sort of mischief."
—Jane Austen
(British, 1775-1817)
Word for the day
Bromide (n)
A platitude or trite saying.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
All said and done - may I dare ask "Who is this Mr. Kulkarni and what business does he have with Mr. Kasuri?"

Strategy update - II

The global financial crisis and consequent economic challenges have provided India with a great opportunity to consolidate her position in the global order - economic as well as geopolitical.
Factors like a 1.25bn strong mostly conservative society, young demography, a strong leadership fully committed to democratic traditions, large pool of English speaking workers, well developed market system, underdeveloped economy with good appetite for investment - make India standout in a world struggling with fast aging and highly indebted societies, torn with civic unrest arising from massive unemployment and geopolitical strife.
It is really unfortunate that at this critical point in time when the entire nation needs to come together and avail this opportunity, every one appears to be quarreling not only with each other, but also with self believes.
·         PM Modi has to fight uncooperative opposition and the opponents within broader Sangh Parivar. BJP as a party appears struggling to accept India in the present shape and form. For many undoing the 1947 partition is on top of the agenda. Some of them would even like to go back and undo the British and Moghul rules also.
·         Socialist movement that has been hostage to feudal elements for past 25yrs and has degenerated badly, is melting under the pressure of its own internal contradictions. Social justice to them is now synonymous with the interest of their respective families.
·         The comatose communist movement is too desperate to save its nest in the Lutyens' Delhi.
·         The Congress Party is crumbling under the blind ambitions and incompetence of its first family. At top of their agenda is to secure maximum media coverage so that they remain relevant till next election; even if this media coverage comes at the expense of national interest.
·         The wise men (academics, writers, intelligentsia, and artists, etc.) and media — who bear the responsibility to lead the society on a righteous path by showing the light of knowledge are too busy in trifling gimmickry and hence not helping the situation either.
Do not make a mistake - as an investor I am not worried about all this mess. In my strategy I have factored all this commotion.
I am a firm believer in the grit, righteousness, perseverance, tolerance, integrity, austerity, frugality and competence of my fellow countrymen. These characteristics shall allow our economy to sustain and grow - may be not at a rate in double digit as many would like, but at a pace good enough to sustain the interest of investors and businessmen.
I do not usually entertain the thoughts of higher and faster growth potential, radical economic or social reforms.
The earnings season has started on expected lines, with Infosys reiterating what they said a month earlier and what HCL Tech echoed a couple of weeks before. I am not worried about the market falling on poor earnings. In fact I waiting for opportunities to invest at lower levels.

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