Wednesday, August 24, 2016

All is not Well!


"My coming to faith did not start with a leap but rather a series of staggers from what seemed like one safe place to another."
—Anne Lamott (American, 1954)
Word for the day
Whigmaleerie (n)
A whimsical or fanciful ornament or contrivance; gimmick.
Malice towards none
Now you know why AAP is running its publicity campaign on public money - It has no money left of its own!
First random thought this morning
A Reuters headlines yesterday screamed "Naming of new RBI chief shows Modi government regains composure after Rajan shock". It was promptly carried out by the local media and discussed at various forum including social media.
I wondered - "when did the government lost if composure over the issue of extending the term of extant governor. It was the studio experts, some celebrated markets experts and opposition leaders who lost their composures and added sinister motives to the government decision.

All is not Well!

Target Corporation Inc of USA, one of the largest customers of Welspun India terminated its business relationship with the Vendor alleging that Welspun substituted Egyptian cotton with a cheaper variant of cotton while supplying it bedsheets.
Reportedly, Wal-Mart Stores Inc, Welspun's third-biggest customer, is also reviewing the company's cotton certification records, and if found irregular, it may also consider cancelling the contracts with the company.
Welspun in a conference call on Monday stated that it was investigating the product specification issue and would hire a Big Four accountancy firm to review its supply processes. The company was evasive in answering the specific queries and completely failed in assuring the investors.
Already two days have elapsed since the issue had first arisen. However, we have not heard anything from the government authorities on this.
One may argue that it is purely a business matter and government may not have any role in this. But I strongly disagree. I believe that these kind of matters have serious implications for the economy and markets and therefore require serious and prompt government intervention.
At this point in time we do not know if the allegations against the company are true. Nonetheless, it is pertinent to consider the following points in this regard:
(a)   The company is one of the leading exporters of the bad and bath linen from the country. It claims to be exporting to over 50 countries. If the allegations against the company are proven correct, it may seriously damage the image of other Indian exporters also.
(b)   As of end FY16 the company has a net debt of over Rs2500cr and an annual interest outgo of over Rs200cr. A contagion effect of Target Corp's action may lead to more order cancellations, thus jeopardizing the debt servicing capabilities of the company. We have seen similar instances in case of some diamond merchants. To this extent it could be a systemic problem.
(c)    The stock price of the company has seen an erosion of ~38%, inflicting serious losses to its investors.
(d)   We are already witnessing a serious quality assurance crisis in the pharmaceutical industry due to callousness of a few players. We may not want this contagion to spread to other industries also.
My simple point is that if our government is serious about its Make in India mission, it needs to build a strong quality assurance and audit mechanism to ensure that all manufacturing in and exports from the country adhere to the top global standards.
We just cannot become a major manufacturing and export hub with our Jugaad mindset - both inside and outside the government

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