Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Alice in the wonderland

"No man is a failure who is enjoying life."
—William Feather (American, 1889-1981)
Word for the day
Mirabila (pl noun)
Marvels; Miracles.
Malice towards none
Is India giving away too much space to US or just allowing US its due space, correcting historical anomalies?
First random thought this morning
Yesterday a leading national newspaper prominently carried the news of Nupur Talwar, mother of Aryushi Talwar, getting three week parole for attending to her ailing mother.
This in my view aptly reflects the degeneration of mainstream media.

Alice in the wonderland

On the basis of my impression from their works, I may classify them in five broad categories:
(a)   Fearsome: These are large investors and seasoned money managers who have serious stakes in the financial markets. They are fearful about the inevitable collapse, but have chosen to stay invested. Naturally they are invested in so called safe havens, driving the value of USD, CHF, US and German treasuries, etc. to bubble levels. The more they are afraid, the more air they are pumping into the bubble.
(b)   Fear mongers: These are mostly unscrupulous bankers, economists and analysts who are consistently creating an environment of fear amongst various market participants and stakeholders to maximize their gains. Based on their forecasts, many a times unsubstantiated, they are able to pursue decision makers into a transaction that is mostly unnecessary.
(c)    Fearless: These are mostly money managers and small to midsized traders who are always there to take advantage of greed & fear inequilibrium in the market. These mostly move around the globe in herds, acting in tandem. Their entry and exit in an asset class, market or geography causes massive rise in volatility.
(d)   I said so variety: These are mostly academicians who propagate multiple, often vague, inadequate, inconsistent and/or self contradicting, economic theories in the market so as to claim the status of an Oracle at a later date. I any event, but mostly collapse, they proudly claim "I said so". Well funded by public money, mostly, they are at no loss situation, in any eventuality.
(e)    Data dependent: These are mostly official statements of various central bankers, global financial institutions, and governments. These are expressed in extremely measured words and are said to be data dependent. Though watched carefully for each word and punctuation mark in some cases (e.g., US Fed), in recent time these have lost their credibility. Mostly the fearless type use these statements to further their cause in the market.
From my careful readings of various statements, reports and writings of a number of experts from the said five categories, I have concluded that most of them are as clueless about the timings and immediate trigger for the Endgame, as me or any of my readers.
That is obviously not a matter of comfort for me; but it is motivation enough to break away from the popular wisdom and develop own matrix and signals. Right or wrong - only time could tell.....to continue

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