Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Economics, accounting and morality - III


Thought for the day

“As a rule, anything that is pretty you avoid when on an expedition in the polar extremes. Normally anything other than white means a hazard such as a crevasse.”

-          Ranulph Fiennes (British, 1944 -)

Word for the day

Crevasse (n)

A fissure, or deep cleft, in glacial ice, the earth's surface, etc.

(Source: Dictionary.com)

Teaser for the day

Is poverty really a function of nominal monthly earnings?

Economics, accounting and morality - III


The reversal of previous government’s policy stance on FDI in multi brand retail trade (MBRT) by new governments in the states of Delhi and Rajasthan has evoked sharp criticism from many quarters.

Investors have criticized it as a negative for investment climate. Analysts have termed it as retrograde. The union commerce minister has termed it as irresponsible act that would present India in bad light amongst global investor community. He even thought that it could be unconstitutional as under the enabling law passed by the Parliament, states were only given the power to permit FDI in MBRT. However, once permitted, the states have no power to withdraw such permission.

I find nothing new in the decision of Delhi and Rajasthan governments. There have been numerous instances of various governments not sticking to policy decisions. In fact, if we consider some policy flip flops of the incumbent UPA government, the latest episode would look totally innocuous.

For example, when NDA government dismantled the administered pricing mechanism for transportation fuel, many investors had invested in the sector. Private sectors and foreign companies invested in setting up retail fuel distribution network (Petrol Pumps); E&P assets and even in stock of public sector OMCs and upstream companies. UPA government reversed the policy causing huge losses to investors. UPA government followed a particular policy on telecom spectrum auction. When the Supreme Court held the policy inappropriate and canceled the 22 telecom licenses, the government decided not to defend its policy by enacting appropriate legislation. Similar outcome is likely in coal block allocation policy also. Remember, in political sensitive instances of Delhi unauthorized business establishment ceiling, and ban on convicted politicians for contesting elections by the apex court, the UPA government had sought to reverse the court rulings through legislative means. Seeking to retroactively implement GAAR was also an instance of investor unfriendliness. In fact since the infamous Vodafone penalty case, India has not seen any big ticket FDI, except for MNCs raising stakes in their local ventures.

Whereas thankfully neither investment has actually taken place in pursuance of the policy to allow FDI in MBRT, nor many people seem interested.

In my view, it is not a simple issue of political morality or protection of free market economy. It goes much beyond that. It involves the question of:

(a)   legitimizing private lobbying with legislators;

(b)   evolving a code of conduct for all politicians with regard to exploiting the work done (or not done) in performance of their constitutional duties for electoral purposes; for example, it is not uncommon to see politicians claiming credit (through big and ugly banners) for building pavements, drains, etc.;

(c)   evolving a consensus that no political party should claim credit for b-partisan legislations; UPA could not have passed any bill without the support of “constructive opposition” or “CBI friendly outside supporters”.

Remember, in accounting every “credit” need to have an equal “debit”; bad politics can never be good economics; why bother about “Morality”.

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