Friday, June 30, 2017

Farm sector reforms - 2

"The best revenge is to be unlike him who performed the injury."
—Marcus Aurelius (Roman, 121-180)
Word for the day
Interditate (v)
To interlock, as or like the fingers of both hands.
Malice towards none
What kind of government do we have?
(a) Capitalist
(b) Socialist
(c) Communist
(d) Opportunist
(e) None of the above
(f) Mix of all of the above
First random thought this morning
In past three years, many sections of the Indian society have seen rise in agitation. Youth, farmers, religious minorities, religious majority, armed forces, media, traders, industrialists, bankers - all have been quite restive.
The factors could have been varied. For example, poor monsoon for two years, abolition of large currency notes, stricter compliance norms, demand slowdown, GST implementation, rise in cross border threats, authoritarian disposition of the leadership, rise in assertiveness of fringe elements within religious communities, and fear of marginalization amongst regional parties, etc. But the fact is that an average Indian is far more agitated today, that he/she was three years ago.
The moot point is whether this agitation will give rise to a new vibrant India or dissipate India's energy and push us back by couple of decades!

Farm sector reforms - 2

There was this feudal lord, who had enslaved a number of peasants on different pretexts. He would make them toil hard the whole day and give two inadequate meals to survive.
Occasionally, on festivals, birthdays of his children, his marriage anniversary, and death anniversary of his parents, he would treat them with a good meal and sweets. Once in 3-4yrs, during winters, he would give them new blankets so that they do not die of cold. In return, the bonded peasants were expected to hail him as protector and great benefactor of the poor.
No one ever dare ask for freedom from bondage. No one ever considered freeing these poor enslaved peasants.
The condition of Indian farmers is no better than those bonded labors in the story stated above. Various governments have been exploiting them, giving occasional doles and expecting favors in the form of votes.
No one has considered making these farmers self-dependent and economically viable. Unfortunately, the farmers have also been quite satisfied with occasional doles and have not been seeking redemption from slavery.
The recent episode of loan waiver is nothing but the new blanket given to farmers so that they survive the chilly winter and vote for the incumbent governments. Anyone assuming it to be anything more than that is seriously mistaken, in my view.
I believe that this is the primary reason for Indian economy not being able to grow faster on sustainable basis. Unless, two third of the population earns enough so that it can adequately consume, save and invest - it may be actually foolish to believe that a inwardly oriented economy like India can consistently grow faster.
As suggested yesterday, a sustainable improvement in Indian farmers' conditions is possible only under a comprehensive rural development mission. I presented my suggestions for one aspect of this mission yesterday (see here). Today I am presenting my thoughts on the reforms needed on the Policy level.
Since independence the government has focused on development of industrial infrastructure in the country. It has actively participated in the endeavor through a large number of public sector enterprise; besides offering a myriad tax and other concessions to the private entrepreneurs.
Now, the country has a reasonably strong industrial base. Many of our industries are globally competitive. We have a strong set of entrepreneurs and risk takers.
It is therefore high time when the government should reset its priorities and turn its primary focus on agriculture.
To begin with, as a matter of policy, the government should exit all industrial and banking activities.
Instead of sitting in Krishi Bhawan and making plans, the agriculture minister of the country should step out, take all state agriculture minister along and toil on the fields.
Firstly, the government should actively take agricultural activities - develop barren lands; develop water bodies and irrigation facilities; develop and use technology for enhancing productivity; give employment to landless farmers; take risk with new technologies & crops; partner with marginal farmers in consolidating their land and do farming on that land - just the way it undertook industrial activities immediately after independence. The minister should be made accountable for making the endeavor remunerative.
It has taken seven decades for Indian industries to reach a stage where the government can consider fully exiting the industrial activities. It may take 2-3 decades for Indian agriculture to reach a stage where the government will be able to exit farming activities completely, in my view.
Please note that at this point in time, I am not interested in engaging in debate whether the government's industrial policy was appropriate in the first place. I am also not suggesting nationalization of agriculture sector. I am just saying that the government should undertake the activity on commercial basis to provide the sector with much needed escape velocity in terms of capital, technology, and risk taking capability.
Secondly, the government should undertake on mission basis the task to reskill of underemployed farmers and farm labor. The farmers and their family members may be trained as dairy workers, domestic help, nurses, tourist guides, artisans, etc. Expecting construction sector to absorb all surplus farm labor is a bad idea, in my view.
Thirdly, the government should consider developing at least 5 very large special agri export zones in rocky and desert areas of central and western India and undertake export of farm produce as a commercial activity. These zones may be developed in private or joint sector.
Fourthly, the government may consider acquiring farm assets, especially rice farms, overseas to reduce water intensity of Indian agriculture.
Fifth, various states of the Union may be allowed to make bilateral or multilateral agreements for procurement, processing and trading of farm produce, movement of labor
Last, but not the least, nationalized all rivers, set up a national water regulator (commission) who shall work out water sharing formula for all states and union territories every three year and maintain adequate provisions for managing droughts.
...to continue next week

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