Friday, June 9, 2017

3yr Agenda vs 5yr plan

"It is not my mode of thought that has caused my misfortunes, but the mode of thought of others."
—Marquis de Sade (French, 1740-1814)
Word for the day
Serendipity (n)
1. Good fortune; luck
2. An aptitude for making desirable discoveries by accident.
Malice towards none
If it is Not Ok to identify and discriminate between rioters and miscreants by religion, why is it OK to do so on the basis of occupation?
 First random thought this morning
In past two decades, I might have read a zillion reports about the looming water crisis. So much so that it has become a common belief that the next major global war will be fought for water resources.
I think water scarcity is an overrated threat, just like peak oil was.
I am confident that sooner than later, desalination will become affordable, just like long distance communication and solar energy. Besides we would have discovered agriculture & cooking methods which are less water intensive; sanitation techniques that make our washrooms water positive; and many more such things.

3yr Agenda vs 5yr plan

The incumbent government has initiated some material changes in the long established institutional framework and administrative machinery of the country. For example, the Planning Commission, that was functioning as a nodal central agency for preparing and implementing five year development plans and coordinating the development efforts with various state governments has been disbanded. With this the practice of formulating centralized 5year development plan, that included setting development & growth targets, division of execution responsibilities between the center and various states and resource allocation, has also been abandoned.
It may be noted that though set up through an executive order, over the years, the Planning Commission had become an unanimously acceptable institution for setting the policy framework and guiding and supervising the development process.
The Planning Commission has been replaced by an advisory body named the National Institution for Transforming India or NITI Aayog wef January 2015. In May 2016, the Prime Minister Office advised the NITI Aayog to "prepare a Fifteen Year Vision, Seven Year Strategy and Three Year Action Agenda documents".
NITI Aayog accordingly issued a draft Three Year Action Agenda in April 2017, that will be finalized by the governing council of the Aayog and then presented to the Prime Minister. I shall be discussing this draft agenda paper in some detail in my subsequent posts.
I want to make it absolutely clear that I am not arguing here for Planning Commission of NITI Aayog per se. I am also not commenting upon the efficacy, desirability, success, or otherwise, of the Planning Commission, that worked for over 60yrs, framed twelve 5yr plans and executed them. I am also neither judging the NITI Aayog, nor making any prophecy about its future.
I just want to highlight the conundrum that the government's decision to abolish long established institutions like the Planning Commission and UGC, presents. For example, the Planning Commission's job of making a 5yr plan more or less coincided with the tenure of an elected central government. Inarguably the development is a much longer term process and requires planning for decades in advance, breaking it into five year term, at least theoretically, allowed every governments to pursue its agenda, in accordance with the popular mandate, for its 5yr term. The system worked well without any significant discontinuity in the economy.
The point to ponder is that if NITI Aayog has to make an Agenda for the balance term of the government, and a strategy for the next term, provided PM Modi gets it, and a vision for 15years, how is it different from the Planning Commission added with Millennium Development Goals (MDG) and Vision 2020. If it was only people, the same people could have been hired at the Planning Commission. If it is control and dominance (that was perhaps not possible on a 60yr old institution), it is a major risk, the incumbent government has decided to take. For, the precedent will not go unrepeated and untried by various future governments, to the detriment of the country and its people.

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