Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Knocking at wrong door


"We are what our thoughts have made us; so take care about what you think. Words are secondary. Thoughts live; they travel far."
—Swami Vivekananda (Indian, 1863-1902)
Word for the day
Katzenjammer (n)
Uneasiness; anguish; distress.
Malice towards none
If RaGa kurta is torn, it does not affect him, as he or his family do not have to pay anyone for anything.
First random thought this morning
Budget 2017: High service tax to align service tax rates with proposed GST rate of 18% and withdrawal of a multitude of exemptions for business assesses so that the marginal rate of tax could be brought down to target 25% are two agenda that need to be pursued in right earnest. These will definitely result in marginally higher incidence of taxation for businesses. Though, in medium term the benefit could more than mitigate the damage.

Knocking at wrong door

The finance minister is like CFO of a business corporation. His job is to keep account of the receipts and expenditure of the government; manage resources necessary for executing the plans approved by the Cabinet; ensure optimum utilization of available resources; and keep adequate provision for meeting contingencies.
He is accountable to all the stakeholders, insofar as the transparency of accounts is concerned. His discretions are however limited to choosing the sources of revenue needed for executing the plans of the government.
In specific Indian context, FM has to decide how much resources to raise from (a) taxation; (b) sale of national assets; and (c) borrowing.
In taxation, a balance has to be maintained between direct and indirect taxes to keep the incidence of tax just and equitable.
Sale of national assets (mines, airwaves, PSE shares, land etc.) has to meet the criteria of sustainability, development, transparency, viability, socio-political expediency; etc. and depends heavily on the current market conditions.
Borrowing depends on consideration of fiscal discipline, servicing capacity, and market conditions. Historically, we have borrowed from domestic lenders only. However, in recent years the role of foreign lenders has been rising; the exchange rate volatility has therefore become a consideration. The FRBM Act also guides the extend of borrowing.
The importance, or otherwise, of the annual budget presentation must be seen within this framework. Although, the attention that is paid to the annual budget speech has diminished in past decade or so, it still evokes intense interest from the financial market participants. I feel it has more to do with the marketing success of business news channels rather than anything else. A number of TV shows are hosted to propagate an environment of expectation, hope and fear amongst market participants.
The anticipation, that is sometimes far beyond the realm of reality, guides the market volatility. The representatives of various interest groups and lobbyists for pressure groups demand from FM, what he has no jurisdiction to give. For example, someone asks FM to allocate more money for infrastructure spending. Whereas, this request should logically be made to the concerned ministry and departments, which shall make a plan, and get approved by the cabinet. FM will be obliged to provide resources for a plan approved by the cabinet. A defiance could see him losing his job.
I believe that it is high time that the development agenda of the government be completely separated from the budget presentation. Let budget be an accounting exercise with a reasonable degree of predictability and transparency.
Let public appraisal of the development agenda be a continuous process through regular reporting by the concerned departments and ministries.

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