Monday, January 18, 2016

Nifty: Expect a stopover on the way to 7K

Thought for the day
"Fear is the passion of slaves."
— Patrick Henry (American, 1736-1799)
Word for the day
Reify (v)
To convert into or regard as a concrete thing. E.g., to reify a concept.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
Youth in Congress Party must take one week break to study the history of the Party and contemplate if they need to change the path they have been trading since past one decade!
First random thought this morning
Unicorns and Black Swans have joined Bulls and Bears to make life of the market participants more interesting.
We are lucky to witness the figments of imagination acquiring some tangible contours at a time when inclination to deny the realty as unwarranted paranoia is very high.
 

Nifty: Expect a stopover on the way to 7K

As I have been expecting since August 2015, when Nifty completed bearish H&S pattern on monthly charts, Nifty is progressing well to test its long term rising channel support around 7000 levels.
In my view, this channel support may hold good, and Nifty should form a strong bottom in 6850-7350 range in next three months and begin the next leg of the up move that should see Nifty rising to the next peak of 10900-11300 in next 28-36months.
The premise should hold good even if Nifty falls to 6430-6750 range for 2-3weeks and bounces back to 6850-7130 range in next 10weeks. However, in the least likely situation of Nifty closing below 6850 by March 2016, the scaling of mount 10k could be delayed by another 8months, i.e., 36-44 months.
Besides, Nifty is deeply oversold on short term momentum indicators. So a brief relief rally could be expected this week.
 
 
 

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