Thursday, March 5, 2015

Execution is the key

Thought for the day
"We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them."
-          Albert Einstein (German 1879-1955)
Word for the day
Effulgent (adj)
Shining forth brilliantly; radiant.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Teaser for the day
Does Congress support for Insurance Bill marks any material change in strategy?

Execution is the key

The governments in past 25years have mostly adopted similar socio-economic policies consistently irrespective of their form (single party or multi party) or constitution (minority or majority).
For example consider the following:
1.     The process of meaningful tax reforms was started by the then finance minister V. P. Singh (Congress 1984-89) by rationalizing the tax slabs, lowering maximum marginal tax rates substantially, rationalizing wealth tax and introducing CENVAT. The recommendations of Raja J. Chelliah Committee (1991-93) on tax reforms constituted by the government (Congress 1991-96) have since formed the basis of tax reforms in India. All successive governments have implemented these recommendations. No government has sought to reverse or alter the process started by Congress government (1984-89). These recommendations formed the core of the now discarded Direct Tax Code. The origin of the tax proposal like lower tax rate with lesser exemptions and no wealth tax proposed in could also be traced to that.
       Committees formed under the chairmanship of other members of Raja Chelliah committee like Govinda Rao, Partha Shome and Vijay kelkar etc. subsequently updated the recommendations to provide further impetus to the entire process of tax reforms in the country.
       It was the Finance Minister of H. D. Devegoda led United Front government who presented the most talked about "dream budget".
2.     The recommendations of Narsimham Committee (1991-92) appointed by Dr. Manmohan Singh, the then finance minister in the Congress government, have largely formed the basis of financial and banking sector reforms in the country. Most successive governments have implemented the recommendations consistently. In fact, P. Chidambram, the then finance minister in United Front government (1998) had re-appointed the Narsimham Committee to make recommendations about the second generation banking sector reforms. The report was submitted in 1999 to the NDA government which accepted the recommendations. However, almost all governments have failed in building wider consensus on these recommendations and have failed to implement many of them. But acceptance and rejection has been very consistence irrespective of the form and constitution of government.
3.     The BJP led NDA government enacted the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act (FRBMA) in 2003. The arch rival Congress led UPA-I government implemented the same in 2004 in letter and spirit. This still forms the very basic of fiscal discipline both at central and state levels, though implementation was suspended in 2009 in the wake of global crisis and need for stimulus. In FY13 stimulus withdrawal commenced. The incumbent Finance Minister has committed to achieve the targets in next three years.
4.     The minority government of Chandrashekhar introduced disinvestment policy first time in 1991. Every successive government since then has not only accepted the policy in principle but also tried to actively integrate
       into the evolving economic model. Almost all of them have consistently failed in implementing the policy in right spirit.
5.     The then Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee sought to implement GAAR or general anti tax avoidance rules. However, he had to defer the implementation due to concerns expressed by foreign investors and businesses. Both the successive finance ministers have kicked the can a little further.
6.     Single national market (GST) is also an idea whose time has come. The incumbent government is poised to implement the legislation framed by the previous government.
7.     Programs such as cleaning the holy rivers of Ganga & Yamuna and provision of toilets in every home have been accorded priority by all successive governments. Millions have been spent on these programs with no evident results. The incumbent government has adopted the program on mission basis. The execution could make a difference.
From the above cited example, it is evident clear that the direction of policy has been mostly same on most accounts during the past three decades. The difference lies in the execution.
Indubitably, the execution was seen much better during Vajpayee led NDA government whereas it lagged during the subsequent UPA Government.
The incumbent government has taken a number of steps to improve the execution of key policies and programs. The outcome will decide whether the things are being done differently!
It is however important to note that the P. V. Narsimha Rao led Congress government and Atal Bihari Vajpayee led NDA government made many historic departure from the past and took many new policy initiatives.
The end of Nehru era's license, quota & permit raj, abolition of capital controls and introduction of LERMS, entry of private players in civil aviation, opening of financial sector, etc. were some major path breaking reforms introduced by Narsimha Rao government.
Divestment of major government monopolies like power, roads, wireless communication, ports, airports, insurance & hydrocarbons, focus on rural connectivity, deregulation of fuel pricing, and liberal FDI regime were the key new policy initiatives during the Vajpayee led NDA regime.
The 10years of UPA regime did not witness any major policy departure. The execution of existing policy norm was poor.
In past 10months of PM Modi led NDA we have not seen any major policy departure, except dismantling of 6 decade old Planning Commission. However, the dominance of market economists in the consultative bodies of the government suggests that we will see a new policy paradigm in next four years.
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