Monday, May 16, 2016

Nifty: Still in consolidation mode, greed rising

Thought for the day
"Reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled."
Richard P. Feynman (American, 1918-1988)
Word for the day
Obviate (v)
To anticipate and prevent or eliminate(difficulties, disadvantages, etc.) by effective measures; render unnecessary: to obviate the risk of serious injury.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
VK and ABD are on their way to become all time great in history of cricket, i.e., till a new star emerges on the horizon.
First random thought this morning
The stock Apple is down 27% in past 52 weeks and presently trades at ~10x trailing twelve months earning. The Indian consumer durable stocks with no innovation, little technology leadership, and no cash on balance sheet trade at 20-50x. The market could be irrational longer than usual but not till eternity. The question is who will be left holding the baton when the sun finally sets at the horizon.

Nifty: Still in consolidation mode, greed rising

Nifty sustained its weekly break down point of 7730 for second consecutive week (see here) and ended 1% higher on weekly basis.
On midterm charts, it appears much stronger as compared to couple of weeks ago. In my view it may consolidate for 3-4 weeks in broader 7690-8140 range and make a big move thereafter. At this point in time I would rate the probability of move being in north direction as 67%.
I will therefore be buying all the dips henceforth.
Two things are noteworthy for traders. One, after a long time, last week both FPI and DII were net buyers on weekly basis; though the level of activity and volumes were low. Two, the "greed" has again started to dominate "fear".

Nifty showing no sign of weakness as yet

...as greed begins to dominate fear yet again

 

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