Monday, May 23, 2016

Nifty: Momentum losing, expect range to narrow further

Thought for the day
"I've spent several years in Hollywood, and I still think the movie heroes are in the audience."
—Wilson Mizner (American, 1876-1933)
Word for the day
Furphy (n)
A false report; rumor.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
As it turns out, Rahul Gandhi, like her Aunt Meneka, is an intense animal lover.
He refuses to chain his dog, even if it means losing 2-3 state elections!
 
First random thought this morning
In past few years I have noticed that the foreign media is doing mostly Google/telephonic journalism in India, so trusting them is not prudent. The Indian media is so selective, prejudiced and partisan in their reporting that one has to be a really cruel editor to make any sense of their reporting. Social media is over-enthusiastic and often manipulative.
So how do we know what's happening around! I suggest carry your backpacks and travel for three days in general class compartment of Indian railway.
 

Nifty: Momentum losing, expect range to narrow further

Indian markets lost further momentum last week. In its attempt to assimilate the full implications of a myriad of domestic policy decision, political events and global concerns (especially Brexit, Fed hike) the markets oscillated between hope and fear, before ending the week with some losses.
Continued poor show by PSU banks, though not entirely unexpected, impacted the sentiments further.
I do not, see much changes in the market circumstances and behavior this week also. The derivative settlement and some key results may though cause higher intraday volatility.
In strict technical terms, on weekly charts a close below 7730 may confirm a bearish H&S pattern on Nifty charts, that could lead Nifty to fall to 7550-7560 range. On the upside Nifty faces a strong weekly resistance at 7850 level now and presently lacks momentum to cross it decisively. So most likely scenario is Nifty moving in 7550-7860 range, with marginal bearish bias. Nonetheless, if Nifty manages to close above 7830 this week, the bearish bias will get obliterated.
In case of bank Nifty the range could be even narrower at 16300-16800.
 
 

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