Tuesday, May 19, 2015

The earnings' show so far

Thought for the day
"To see and listen to the wicked is already the beginning of wickedness."
-          Confucius (Chinese, 551-479BC)
Word for the day
Cacophonous (adj)
Having a harsh or discordant sound.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
Can Rahul Gandhi sustain his new found aggression till 2019?
Most of the issues he raising are likely to fizzle out in next one year itself.
 

The earnings' show so far

Asian Paints' 4Q results provide further evidence of slowdown in consumer demand. The company could sustain profitability due to lower raw material prices, which has again been the trend across the consumer segment.
A primary analysis of the results and consequent corporate commentaries brings out the following broad trends:
(a)   The consumption demand has slowed down considerably, and likely to remain subdued for another quarter, primarily due to poor show in rural income. However, most managements have guided for gradual pickup from 2HFY16.
(b)   Both the consumer durable and FMCG companies have managed the cost well and improved margins on normalized basis. None of the management so far has guided any material deterioration in the demand and price conditions going forward.
(c)   Exporters (IT and Pharma) have suffered due to poor demand conditions in some key markets like Europe, and Latin America. The cross currency headwinds have hit most companies. However, unlike 2008-09, most companies have managed their currency exposures well and no material forex losses have been reported.
(d)   Industrial segment has expectedly suffered due to poor investment demand. However, most large companies have been able to meet the subdued expectations. The stress in visible in mid and small cap, especially highly indebted companies.
(e)   Reality sector companies have reported mixed results so far. The well managed south based companies have reported decent numbers and have guided decent growth going forward.
(f)    Financial companies and banks have reported huge rise in delinquencies in restructured assets. The credit growth has been on the lower side. However, the cost efficiencies have improved across the board. Operation numbers are as per expectations or better.
SC clears doubts on obligation to buy power from green sources
In a precedent-setting judgement pronounced last week, the Supreme Court of India has laid down that owning a captive power plant does not absolve a company of its obligation to purchase part of its power consumption from green sources, such as wind and solar.
The judgement implies that the various companies who have not been buying green power by taking shelter under a legal ambivalence, now face enforcement of their obligations.
The case pertains to an appeal of Vendanta group’s Hindustan Zinc Ltd against a 2012 verdict of the Rajasthan High Court, which said that the State electricity regulatory commission was right in imposing the ‘renewable purchase obligation’ on the company, even though the company runs its own captive power plants, of about 475 MW capacity.
 “The renewable purchase obligation imposed upon captive power plants and open consumers through the impugned regulation cannot in any manner be said to be restrictive or violative of the fundamental rights conferred on the appellants…..we do not find any reason to interfere with the impugned judgement (of the Rajasthan High Court),” the apex Court’s order said.
Impact of the order
The Supreme Court’s order brings clarity to the point as to whether or not companies that have captive power plants are covered by the law that mandates green power purchase.
Some other companies had impleaded themselves in the case, filing counter affidavit with the Supreme Court — Ultratech Cements, Mangalam Cements, Binani Cements, Trinetra Cements, Shree Cement, Rajasthan Textile Mills Association, DCM Shriram Consolidated Ltd, JK Tyre Industries and Lucid Coloids Ltd.
“All other interlocutory applications for impleadment/ intervention/ stay/ directions are disposed off,” the order says.
As such, the order will have far reaching implications on India Inc. Vishal Pandya, Founder of REConnect, a consultancy that operates in the area of renewable energy certificates trading, observes that several High Courts have stayed the imposition of RPO on captive power producers.
“With the Supreme Court, these stays will become redundant,” Pandya said.
“The order will provide support to the State electricity regulators to impose RPO regulations more forcefully and enforce them effectively,” he said. (Business Line)
Oil prices rise on Middle East fighting; OPEC output in focus
Oil prices edged up on Monday following fighting in Iraq and Yemen, but Iranian comments that OPEC was unlikely to cut output as well as signs of strengthening U.S. production capped gains.
Front-month Brent futures were up 12 cents at $66.93 a barrel by 0556 GMT. U.S. crude rose 26 cents to $59.95.
Prices were supported by concerns that conflict in Iraq and Yemen could disrupt supplies after Islamic State militants said they had taken control of the Iraqi city of Ramadi in a big blow to the government.
In Yemen, a Saudi-led coalition resumed air strikes against Houthi militia in Aden, a port-city on the shores of key Middle East oil routes.
Despite these Middle East conflicts, analysts said oil markets remained oversupplied, and that the glut could worsen if U.S.-production picked up and output by producer-club OPEC remained strong.
"Oil prices appear to have outpaced the improvement in underlying fundamentals," Barclays said on Monday.
Iran's Deputy Oil Minister Rokneddin Javadi told Reuters on Monday that OPEC was unlikely to cut output at its next meeting in June, and that Iran hoped its crude exports would return to pre-sanctions levels of 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd) within three months once a deal to lift an oil embargo is finalised.
A deal over Iran's disputed nuclear programme between Tehran and world powers could see sanctions on Iran lifted if a more permanent pact is finalised in June. Because of the sanctions, Iranian oil exports have fallen to about 1 million bpd since 2012, mainly to Asia.
In the United States, Goldman Sachs said that despite an expected dip in output in the second half of this year, production would increase by 205,000 bpd in 2016. (Reuters)
...Gold too climbs to fresh three-month high
Gold jumped for a fifth straight session on Monday, climbing to fresh three-month highs, as soft U.S. data bolstered hopes the Federal Reserve would not hike interest rates soon.
The metal has been supported in recent days by sluggish U.S. economic data, which has hurt the dollar and altered expectations regarding the Fed's monetary policy.
The dollar languished around a three-month low against the euro on Monday, after weak data on U.S. industrial production and consumer sentiment.
The weak data bolstered views the economy was not recovering strongly enough for the U.S. central bank to raise rates from record lows. This has supported non-interest-paying bullion, which would have seen demand decline with higher rates. (Reuters)
58% of Indian employers facing talent crunch
Notwithstanding the recovery in job market, 58 per cent of India employers are finding it difficult to fill positions and there is a significant talent shortage in accounting and finance sector, a survey showed.
Globally, 38 per cent of employers face talent shortage. In India, however, the number stood at 58 per cent, ManpowerGroup's 10th annual Talent Shortage Survey said today.
Even though talent crunch persists for Indian companies, they are better off than last year. In 2014, 64 per cent of employers said they faced difficulty in finding the right people.
"The demand index for IT and accounting professionals have been on a continuous rise. Focus on technology up-gradation and better financial access will drive the sectors growth in the coming months," said A G Rao Managing Director of ManpowerGroup India.
Employers in India are finding it most difficult to fill jobs in accounting and finance, IT staff, secretaries, receptionists, administrative assistants and office support.
The other jobs that are most in demand in India this year include, teachers, engineers, communications staff, sales manager, engineers, communications staff, sales manager, executives, legal staff and researchers.
As per the survey, around 13 per cent of Indian employers said talent shortages are having a negative impact on their ability to meet client needs.
However, few employers are putting in place strategies to address the talent crunch problem, the survey added. (ET)
For first time in 20 years, Indian mobile phone sales drop
Mobile sales dropped 14.5% in Q1 (January to March) 2015, on a quarter-to-quarter basis, compared to Q4 (October to December) 2014; from 62 million handsets in Q4 2014 to 53 million handsets in Q1 2015.
The decline in smartphone sales from quarter-to-quarter was 7.14%. Cheaper “feature” phones performed worse, with an 18.3% sales decline over the same period.
 
 
FM seeks rate cut from RBI
 
Trivia
Each crisis that materially disrupts social, physical, or economic life of people institutes some changes of far reaching implications.
For example, a cardiac arrest forces material changes in the life style of the person. The national emergency imposed by Mrs. Gandhi changed the socio-political fabric of the Indian society forever. The currency crisis of late 1990s changed the economic structure of countries like Thailand and South Korea.
The global financial crisis that started 2007-08 is also shaping many changes of far reaching impact in global markets.
While the non-conventional monetary policies used to diffuse the crises are still being tested and yet to find recognition in the economic text books, the new stringent norms for banking, cross border investments, money laundering, and leash on fiscal profligacy of many countries are some changes of far reaching implications that are already coming into effect.
One serious change that is increasingly becoming evident is the global aid for poverty alleviation due to fiscal constraints of the donor nations. The stress and non-compliance in the aid receiving jurisdictions is rising and may continue to rise in coming years. Africa that emerged as favored investment destination a decade ago must be "under review" at investment banks.
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Chinese Maternity Tourists and the Business of Being Born American
Fed's Evans says FOMC could look at rate hike in June
 

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