Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Love me or hate me, you can't ignore me

Thought for the day

"It is Homer who has chiefly taught other poets the art of telling lies skillfully."

-          Aristotle (Greek, 384-322BC)

Word for the day

Moppet (n)

A young child.

(Source: Dictionary.com)

Malice towards none

It is perhaps for the first time that PLA has not done any adventure before a Indo-China summit.

Love me or hate me, you can't ignore me

The incumbent government will complete first year in office in couple of weeks. Considering the high expectations it raised amongst all stakeholders, it is natural that assessment of its first year performance is evoking keen interest.
Media, political commentators, opponents, supporters, business, friends, etc. are all evaluating the performance on the parameters that suit them most. Unfortunately, many do not sound objective in their endeavor.
Media and opponents were elated to find ammunition against PM Modi in Arun Shourie's outburst against the government. English media in particular has been overtly critical of the Modi government.
Many businesspersons, e.g., Deepak Parekh and Adi Godrej, have expressed dissatisfaction over government's conduct. Though some like Ratan Tata have advocated giving some more time before a meaningful could be assessment is made.
The opposition parties have alleged in the Parliament that PM Modi is focusing too much on image building through his much hyped overseas tours and ignoring important business.
A India TV-C Voter survey telecast on Monday, found that a majority of people believe that PM Modi today appears anti-poor and anti-farmer; his image has taken serious beating in past one year; and Sushma Swaraj is the best performing minister in his cabinet.
If we juxtapose this criticism from various quarters what we get is:
*         The government has neither worked for poor not the rich. Poor find it pro-industry and industrialist find it too socialist.
*         Media finds that that PM Modi has undermined the authority of his ministers, especially Rajnath Singh (here) and Sushma Swaraj (here). But people find them most efficient ministers.
*         Critic feels too much centralization in PMO is affecting execution. Ministers and bureaucrats feel too much federalization is undermining their authority.
Good, Bad and Ugly of Modi government
Not satisfied with the objectivity of the popular surveys on the assessment of one year performance of the incumbent government, I decided to conduct the one by myself.
Though, my sample is unscientific and tiny, I found the results consistent and plausible.
For records, I spoke to 74 people across 8 states. Profession wise, the sample included small farmers, traders, industrialist, politicians, bankers, students, home makers, government employees, unemployed and petty workers. The sample covered the lower and middle part of the economic strata. The higher echelon went unrepresented. Community wise, it covered six primary religions, and all four caste segments. 12 women participated in the survey. About 10 respondents were from villages.
There was no structured questionnaire. The survey was based on free discussions. Respondents were not prompted towards  anything specific. They were requested to give their free and fair assessment.
The key highlights of the responses received are as follows:
The Good
April CPI Inflation at 4.87%; lowest in four months
*         The global image of the country has improved materially. Though it may not mean immediate economic benefits, the country shall reap multiple benefits in the long term.
*         The government has successfully managed the communal environment in the country. Though, the fringe elements within and outside the government have consistently raked up controversies, the government remarkably stayed secular and neutral.
*         The government has initiated healthy debate on vital issues like corruption, freedom of expression, federalism, freedom of religion, etc.
*         There is a healthy feeling of competition amongst opposition ruled states to compete with center on performance and governance issues.
*         The government has tried to build upon the existing institutions, policies and programs. It has not tried to disrupt the status quo in most respects.
*         It has successfully maintained a corruption free image.
*         The disaster management capabilities have shown remarkable improvement.
*         The government has taken some positive steps to improve center state relations.
*         The government has seriously pursued key economic reforms like land acquisition, GST, financial inclusion, fiscal corrections and improvement in delivery system.
*         PM Modi has successfully managed to keep the BJP at safe distance from the government.

The Bad
March IIP growth slows to 2.1%, the lowest level since Oct 2014;
IIP rose 2.8% in FY15
*         The government is taking too long to finalize the structure of the executive. The confusion in the bureaucracy over the line of authority is impeding execution.
*         The government has not made any credible effort to improve skill development.
*         The corruption at lower level continues to be as rampant as before.
*         The prices of essential commodities are not coming down, though rate of inflation may have come down.
*         The government is focusing on big agenda, ignoring smaller issues that impact day to day life of people.
*         The working conditions have worsened under the current government.
*         The government is planning a shift from established subsidy provision system to enablement in a "knee-jerk" fashion. The transition management is poor and painful.
*         The government is obsessed with image management. It reacts too much and too fast to criticism.
*         The government has wasted too much time and resources on state elections, compromising on economic agenda.
*         The government has nothing for women safety and gender equality, besides routine publicity and issuing appeals to people.
*         The PM Modi has compromised on competence and experience to accommodate loyalty and clean image in construction of his team.
The Ugly
*         The execution on key projects is poor and worsening.
*         The government has virtually nothing to ease financial stress in the economy. The banking system is in similar dire strait as it was in mid 1990s. If not handled proactively, the situation will become unmanageable.
*         The unemployment situation has worsened.

Trivia

Yet another set of tremors rocked north India yesterday.

Poseidon is really angry.

Who is bothering him most?

(a)   Rahul Gandhi

(b)   Narendra Modi

(c)   Arvind Kejriwal

(d)   Judiciary

(e)   India Inc.

(f)    ISIS

(g)   ISI

(h)   EU

(j)    US

(I)    Other, pl specify

Some interesting reads



Thought for the day

"It is Homer who has chiefly taught other poets the art of telling lies skillfully."

-          Aristotle (Greek, 384-322BC)

Word for the day

Moppet (n)

A young child.

(Source: Dictionary.com)

Malice towards none

It is perhaps for the first time that PLA has not done any adventure before a Indo-China summit.


 


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