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Showing posts with the label Wages

State of manufacturing, employment and wages

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Recently the Ministry of Statistics and Program Implementation, Government of India, released the results of the latest Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) for the reference period FY23. The Annual Survey of Industries is conducted with the primary objective to provide a meaningful insight into the dynamics of change in the composition, growth and structure of various manufacturing industries in terms of output, value added, employment, capital formation and a host of other parameters. I note the following key points from the survey results. Key statistics (five-year period from FY19 to FY23) ·           Number of total factories in the country has grown at a CAGR of 1.2%, despite the government’s strong emphasis on manufacturing and multiple incentives. ·           Total fixed capital (investment) employed in manufacturing has recorded a growth of 4.4% CAGR . Total invested capital has grown at a CA...

Side effects of inflation

 The latest episode of global inflation is impacting peoples’ lives in multiple ways, especially in developed countries where the present generation of citizens has not experienced this kind of rise in the cost of living; borrowing cost and challenges in accessing consumer credit. It is of course a significant challenge for the young investors and professional money managers who have been raised in an environment of profligate fiscal policies; abundance of liquidity; near zero cost of borrowing; persistent struggle to mitigate the deflationary pressures and unchallenged US supremacy over global markets and geopolitics. For them all the assumptions that underlined their investment strategies might be falling apart; just like the Dreamliner Titanic. This episode of inflation and consequent monetary tightening would indubitably prove to be an important life lesson for the young investors and money managers; and go a long way in defining the future investment strategies and market di...