Thursday, April 30, 2020

Shift in India's energy subsidies

A recent study by the Canada based International Institute of Sustainable Development has highlighted some interesting trend in the energy subsidies in India. The report titled "Mapping India’s Energy Subsidies 2020" examines how the Government of India (GoI) has used subsidies to support different types of energy.
As per the findings of the report, the following five key changes mark the shift in India's energy subsidies in recent years.
1.    Oil and gas subsidies up by over 65%. This rise—from INR 40,762 crore (USD 6.1 billion) in FY17 to INR 67,679 crore (USD 10.07 billion) in FY19— is largely driven by higher oil prices and growing use of subsidized liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).
2.    Renewable energy (RE) subsidies down by 35%. RE subsidies fell from a high of INR 15,313 crore (USD 2.3 billion) to only INR 9,930 (USD 1.5 billion) in FY 2019. This reflects falling RE costs but also a slowdown driven by policy decisions such as the solar safeguard duty and price caps in auctions. Several new, large policies have been confirmed since FY 2019, so subsidies may rise again in FY20.
3.    Consumption subsidies rising. Success in expanding energy access has also increased the cost of consumption subsidies. State-level under-priced electricity is the most costly individual subsidy policy in India, estimated at INR 63,778 crore (USD 9.5 billion). Evidence suggests it is not well targeted.
4.    Coal subsidies remain largely unchanged, and the net costs of coal are much larger than the revenues. Total revenues from coal taxes and charges and is greater than the total costs from coal-related subsidies, air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Even with conservative assumptions, the outcome is a large net cost from coal. Coal subsidies are estimated at INR 15,456 (USD 2.3 billion) in FY19 and are expected to increase significantly from FY20, given non-compliance with deadlines to install air pollution control technology.
5.    Support for electric vehicles (EVs) has skyrocketed. EV subsidies have grown over 11 times since FY 2017. This reflects the fact that India has only very recently stepped up its support levels for EV. Growth is expected to continue.
The report concludes that the "Recent increases in fossil fuel subsidies and decreases in renewable energy subsidies have not yet altered larger trends—since FY 2014, India has shifted significant public resources toward a clean energy transition. In FY 2014, the first year from which we track data, fossil fuel subsidies have fallen by more than half, largely driven by falling world oil prices and policy reforms to diesel and kerosene pricing, while subsidies for RE and EVs have increased over three and a half times, largely due to policy efforts to meet capacity targets. EV subsidies, in particular, have increased over 440 times from a very low baseline in FY 2014."
The report further highlights that "More remains to be done: subsidies for fossil fuels are still over seven times larger than subsidies for alternative energy. In FY 2019, subsidies for oil, gas and coal amounted to INR 83,134 crore (USD 12.4 billion), compared to INR 11,604 crore (USD 1.7 billion) for renewables and electric mobility."
In light of the current COVID-19 led crisis, the report cautions that while focusing on health and economic recovery must be the top priority, the government must not lose sight over clean energy transition that should reflect in coping strategies and support measures.
Next week, I shall discuss few more relevant details from the report.

1 comment:

  1. Thank you for sharing these insights. Glad to see surge in uses of gas cylinders and awareness about the importance of gas safety devices and gas regulator.

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