Thursday, June 21, 2018

Mandate 2019 - 3

"Passion is needed for any great work, and for the revolution, passion and audacity are required in big doses."
— Che Guevara (Argentinian, 1928-1967)
Word for the day
Thigmotropism (n)
Oriented growth of an organism in response to mechanical contact, as a plant tendril coiling around a string support.
Malice towards none
US has reportedly withdrawn from UNHRC.
Should India follow, given UNHRC biased role in Kashmir?
And why not close the door on Amnesty International also?
 
First random thought this morning
In recent past multiple agencies have warned about the looming water crisis in the national capital city of Delhi. NITI Ayog is the latest to join the club.
Anecdotal evidence suggests that millions of Delhi residents are facing serious water crisis. Inadequate and contaminated water are common complaints. Many areas go without regular water supply for days. People rely on tankers for minimum water supply. Quarrels and violence over water are "normal".
The revolutionary Delhi CM, who wants to control everything in Delhi, has totally failed in managing water resources, which are mostly under his control. PM, who famously boasted his daily yoga regime in a 10acre lush green lawn (where he lives all alone) has also failed in inspiring people to conserve water.
Mandate 2019 - 3
As I begin my journey to assess the mood of the nation ahead of the general elections due in less than 10months, I find the sentiment in NCR (Delhi and surrounding areas) rather disappointing.
Most of the people I spoke to (youth, retired, students, professionals, bankers, government employees, shop keepers, traders, home makers and sundry politicians) have mostly TINA argument to support PM Modi's case.
Unlike 2013-14, when a certain section of the voters was found to be intimidated by the image of PM Modi and termed PM Modi as persona non grata, this time no such sentiment is evident.
At the same time the "large than life" image of PM Modi appears to have diminished. The count of people who believed him to be Taranhaar (the Rescuer), the one who will rid India from all ills and evils in 2014, also appears to have shrunk materially.
Initially, most people I met, blabbed the viral ballads about PM's personal conduct and achievements on social media (mostly unsubstantiated and lacking in credible evidence). However a slight probe, made them admit that TINA (There Is No Alternative) may be the only thing driving their support for PM Modi.
The popular perception about Congress president and the primary challenger remains skeptical. His lack of administrative experience, negative style of campaigning, lack of spontaneity, and random ideas, make him unacceptable to urban middle classes, in particular.
People also dread the thought of someone like BSP supremo Mayawati, TMC Chief Mamta Banerjee, or SP leader Mulayam Singh becoming consensus opposition candidate for PMship.
Unfortunately, it's all perception, and none of the people, especially youth and professionals, could offer any credible argument to support their fears about visible alternatives. Most of their arguments, opinions and view were based on social media posts with questionable authenticity.
Surprisingly, the residents of Delhi did not appear too annoyed with AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal. The maverick leader who had lost the support of middle classes is staging a decent comeback. Though none see a potential national leader in him, the positive acceptance for him may again be creeping in amongst middle classes. In the city of Delhi therefore he remains a formidable challenge to both BJP and Congress.
NCR sends a total of 22 member to the Lok Sabha - 7 each from Delhi and Haryana, 6 from UP and 2 from Rajasthan. In 2014 BJP won 21 out of 22 Lok Sabha seats in NCR, Rohtak in Haryana being the only seat won by INC.
In my assessment it is extremely unlikely for BJP to repeat the 2014 performance in this region. INLD, RLD, BSP, AAP, SP and INC all may gain at BJP expense....to continue tomorrow

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