Friday, August 11, 2017

Indian IT & Pharma at crossroads - 2

"As soon as liberty is complete it dies in anarchy."
—Will Durant (American, 1885-1981)
Word for the day
Venifact (n)
A pebble or cobble that has been faceted, grooved, and polished by the erosive action of wind-driven sand.
Malice towards none
You are Just and Righteous only if you are on my side.
#ElectionCommission
First random thought this morning
Ever wondered what's the life expectancy rate in India!
The way people in their late forties and fifties are branded as kids and youth, it feels close to 120yrs!
But my insurance premium calculations are based on a life expectancy of around 70years.
What's amiss here? Is LIC cheating on me or the politicians & Bollywood fraternity?

Indian IT & Pharma at crossroads - 2

 
It is important to note that Indian pharma and IT industries have glaring similarities. For example consider the following:
(a)   Both businesses have mostly grown on the export market (mainly US). Though there is huge unexploited potential for both industries in India, the investors have mostly focused on the export potential and invested accordingly.
(b)   Wage arbitrage has been a key factor in the growth of both businesses. BPO and CRAMS have been amongst the key jargon in IT and Pharma industry respectively.
A large pool of the cheaper highly skilled English speaking workers has been the magnet that attracts the global businesses to the Indian It and Pharma industries.
(c)    Indubitably both the industries have amazing achievements in developing strong and innovative processes, but new product innovation has not been the hallmark of both the industries. There are few IT products and few new pharma chemical entities which are attributed to Indian IT and Pharma enterprises.
Besides a whole lot of similarities, there are some differences, that place Indian pharma industry on a much stronger footing, as compared to the Indian It industry. For example, consider the following:
(a)   The Indian IT industry has mostly focused on the developed world, struggling with demographic and skill inadequacies. However, the Indian pharma industry has spread to the emerging world also and bridges the critical supply gap for life saving drugs.
(b)   The Indian IT industry does not touches the consumers directly in any significant manner. It's mostly a B2B business. Whereas the Indian pharma industry touches consumers directly across the world, besides servicing the large global corporations in their R&D and manufacturing function. It is a B2B and B2C business in equal measure.
(c)    Theoretically, the potential for both the industries is tremendous in domestic market. However, the potential for Pharma industry is much more tangible, as compared to the IT industry.
IT industry in domestic market may grow more like cottage industry, with small solution providers doing the maintenance and servicing jobs, while the larger product and design business continues to be imported.
Whereas the pharma industry, in domestic market, could play a dominant role as local innovator (generic for global innovations).
I would therefore be relatively more positive on Indian Pharma industry as compared to the Indian It industry. But as I said yesterday (see here), in IT one must be very selective. I will buy a pharma fund and select IT stocks.

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