Tuesday, August 1, 2017

Factroing Japan in investment strategy - 2

"I am not against hasty marriages, where a mutual flame is fanned by an adequate income."
—Will Durant (American, 1885-1981)
Word for the day
Variegated (adj)
Varied in appearance or color; marked with patches or spots of different colors.
Malice towards none
Some present day politicians remind me of a short story by legendary Khuswant Singh, titled "Princess of Kahin Nahi" (The princess of nowhere)!
 
First random thought this morning
This morning, leaving apart some understandings at the local level, an united national opposition to the marching BJP looks like a mirage.
Shrewd politicians like Amit Shah and Narendra Modi would be fully aware that the Congress Party and the degenerated socialists are opportunists and fast losing popular support. They are taking full advantage of this.
Arvind Kejriwal must be ruing his impatience. Has he controlled his larger ambitions and waited for the right time (which may be coming in next 12months), he could have easily emerged as the fulcrum of opposition unity. Alas! he exposed his limitations too soon and too much.

Factroing Japan in investment strategy - 2

The Japanese demand for Indian assets is so strong that assets of Nomura Holdings Inc.’s India equity fund quadrupled to almost 400 billion yen ($3.6 billion) in just the past year.
Another fund, Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management Co.’s Indian bond fund, co-managed with Kotak Mahindra AMC, took in a net 24 billion yen ($214 million) from December through June, lifting total assets to about 87 billion yen as of July 10.
Japanese investors' portfolio investments in Indian stocks and bonds stood at $13 billion at the end of June 2017. As I mentioned yesterday (see here) the process that started a decade back in September 2007 has begun to gain significant momentum. A bilateral free-trade agreement, signed in 2011, is heralding a new phase in crossborder trade and investment.
In a recent press interview, the Japanese Ambassador to India Kenji Hiramatsu said, "We have already signed the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA)." he further added that "many companies are shifting their operation bases or manufacturing bases to India and they are producing their products here and selling them in the Indian market. Also they are developing industries or local part industries, as in they are making spare parts and not importing from Japan. It means that we are not only talking about the bilateral trade figure but in a wider context. Also I would like to say that the products that are produced here are exported to Japan, and some to the wider global market including Africa, Middle East and other neighboring countries, so Japanese companies are looking not only at the Indian market but also at the regional and the global market."
Japanese firms’ did not start the process of buying assets in India on a happy note. The ill-fated purchase by pharmaceutical company Daiichi Sankyo in 2008 of Ranbaxy proved to be a major sentiment dampener. NTT’s loss-making joint venture with Tata Group also did not end on a happy note. Nonetheless, these disappointments did not deter Japanese investors. M&A is picking up. As per available data Japanese companies made some 46 acquisitions (including minority stakes and joint ventures) in India in 2014, up from just 23 in the previous year.
To put things in perspective, as of 2015, close to 1000 Japanese firms had reported some kind of operation in India. This compares with 1400 firms in Thailand and close to 2500 in China. Till 2014, India accounted for only 1% of the outbound FDI from Japan, and less than 1.5% of Japanese exports.
In 2015, Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe promised to double both Japan’s investment and the number of Japanese companies operating in India within five years, targeting ¥3.5trn (US$33.6bn) of private and public financing.
This needs to be understood in the context of (a) rising tension between Japan and China; (b) India promising to be remain fastest growing economy; (c) India offering a stable macro environment with a high yield differential compared to most of the developed world; and (d) traditional Indo-Japan cultural and religious ties.....to continue tomorrow.

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