Monday, February 23, 2015

My dime on reforms

Thought for the day
"Children are completely egoistic; they feel their needs intensely and strive ruthlessly to satisfy them."
-          Sigmund Freud (Austrian, 1856-1939)
Word for the day
Doggo (adv)
In concealment; out of sight.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Teaser for the day
Whose Robe could easily beat Modi's 4.31cr suit:
·         J. Jayalalitha
·         Rajnikanth
·         Sonia Gandhi
·         Amitabh Bacchan
·         Salman Khan
·         Other (pl specify)?

My dime on reforms

I have been insisting that the reforms must be distinguished from mere administrative corrections. A policy measure in order to qualify as "Reform" must change the status quo materially.
I f I may reproduce what I wrote few months back:
When faced with the task of catapulting the economic activity to a higher orbit it is imperative for the policy makers to distinguish between "administrative corrections", "systemic efficiencies" and "reforms".
The businesses, investors and consumers need to assimilate that economic reforms do not necessarily result in more profit in the immediate term. To the contrary, economic reforms are more likely to cause pain and inconvenience in the immediate term as these involve fundamental changes in the processes and practices of doing business and consuming goods & services.
For example, consider the following:
(a)   100% FDI in insurance per se may not qualify as a reform if it merely enhances the capacity of insurers to take more business on a larger capital base. Making health and accident coverage compulsory for all employees and petty service providers, including domestic helps, drivers, porters etc., compulsory would be a reform.
(b)   Transfer of de jure power to fix prices for transportation fuel to IAS officers at the helm of public sector oil marketing companies from IAS officers assisting the Prime Minister and Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs is merely a administrative change. A rise in global crude prices above USD110/bbl will most likely cause this change to reverse, as was the case in 2003-04.
       A reform in this area would be implementation of an integrated energy policy that motivates and (where necessary) forces changes in the consumption patterns. Reducing energy intensity of water, improving quality of public transport, and improving fuel efficiency of roads would provide a sustainable solution.
(c)   Cutting on some travel cost, curtailing number and place of meetings, stationary expenses etc. is a cost management exercise. Empirically, all these expenses tend to rebuild as the fiscal situation eases with the economic cycle. Labeling this as expenditure or fiscal reform might be a mistake. A small reform in this area could be to identify routine government jobs that do not involve public dealing or matters of national security; and allowing the employees to perform these jobs from their homes with use of technology.
(d)   Food security programs have been integral part of the government agenda since independence. Despite leakages and inefficiencies, the public distribution system (PDS) has helped millions. Similarly mid-day meal schemes have also worked well. Now bringing the prices of food down to Rs1 or Rs2 per kg for BPL families may not qualify as major reform to the current system, in my view.
From this view point, I suggest the following 10 illustrative reform measure that may change the status quo materially. If you find these are highly idealistic, and impractical to implement, I beg to differ.
(1)   To exploit the demographic dividend fully and generate demand, accelerate the wealth transfer process. Defining the upper bound of wealth and introduction of material estate duty on people above the upper bound could be one method.
(2)   Transfer the power to impose direct taxes to the local governments.
(3)   Transfer the ownership of natural resources to local governments. Encourage industry and investors to partner with local governments for setting up business ventures.
(4)   Introduce competition in Railways. To begin with allow point-to-point private railways for intercity travel up to 100kms.
(5)   Transfer all PSUs under a listed holding company. Majority voting power in this listed holding company may be owned by Indian citizens with no individual owning more than 1%. All these companies should be professionally managed with no intervention from the government whatsoever.
(6)   Allow and encourage the federal states to have bi-lateral trade, labor and resource sharing treaties.
(7)   Bring the Return on Investment (ROI) for elected representatives close to Zero level, by stripping all their discretionary powers.
(8)   Constitute a Clean India Regulatory Authority (CIRA). Make all elected representatives from local government level to the members of parliament accountable to this authority. Each member should be mandated to submit a quarterly return of cleanliness in their respective constituency to this authority. The authority should cause an independent audit of such certificates. A wrong certificate should disqualify the person from contesting elections for 25years.
(9)   Transform the Right to Education (RTE) into the Right to Uniform Education (RTUE).
(10) Set up a calendar for full convertibility of INR.
The newly constituted NITI Ayog needs to tell the government that in past one decade it is not the farming, textile, railways, or SME but it is the telecom sector which has provided maximum incremental employment opportunities. And it happened in spite of the government.

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