Wednesday, October 8, 2014

My "truth" not the same as yours

Thought for the day
”To succeed in life, you need two things: ignorance and confidence."
-          Mark Twain (American, 1835-1910)
Word for the day
Supplant (trn verb)
To take the place of (another), especially through intrigue or underhanded tactics; as, a rival supplants another.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Teaser for the day
Congress in catch-22 over the issue "whether it carries a national legacy or its legacy is limited to the Party itself."
If Gandhi, Nehru, Patel, Azad were national leaders then any Indian can claim their legacy. If they were just Congress leaders, what legacy is there to claim?

My "truth" not the same as yours

I believe this world is like a prism. You see different pictures, colors and hues depending upon from which angle you are viewing the world and in what light you are viewing. Therefore, while all views and colors are equally valid, your "truth" is always what you see from the point you are standing at a given point in time and under the current light.
In past few years inflation has been the driving force of RBI's monetary policy. Both Gov. Subba Rao and Gov. Raghuram Rajan have consistently emphasized on perils of higher inflation. In his recent statements Gov. Rajan appeared very firm and committed in his fight against inflation.
I spoke to 10 people from various sections of society yesterday to understand how inflation affects their lives. To my surprise, all of them had different perception about inflation. Certainly they all view the issue from their own angle and under the light of their own circumstances.
My problem is under such conditions what is the relevance of RBI's fight against inflation? From my interaction with people and experience of travelling across the country I understand that through tight monetary policy only a small part of the problem could be handled. The development, fiscal, monetary authorities may need to work in tandem to provide a holistic solution to stabilize the prices. The following are the few pertinent points to consider in this context.
(a)   For almost half the population, primarily living in rural areas, food inflation may not be a matter of serious concern. This section mostly survives on grain based nutrition and obtains their staple ration through PDS or sustenance farming. Healthcare, agri input, and to some extent transportation inflation is a matter of serious concern for them. Effective implementation of food security, better connectivity, drinking water, sanitation and primary healthcare close to home would provide material comfort to this section of the society.
(b)   Urban, semi-urban households suffer from a variety of inflation. Prominent amongst these are education, health, energy, transportation, communication, rental, protein, fruit and vegetable. The political rhetoric and central banker's focus exclude many of these critical elements in their fight against inflation. Better public health, education and transport services, energy efficiency, affordable housing, and better employment opportunities closer to home would be a more suitable solution here.
(c)   Debt laden infra and realty developers are more concerned with inflated cost of capital and wage inflation. Energy and transportation cost also bothers them. Better execution standards, simpler administrative procedures, automation, good corporate governance structure, stricter compliance norms and vibrant retail debt market could alleviate many problems for this sector.
We need to appreciate that maintaining the negative real rates for households (household inflation minus term deposit rate) for a long period is the biggest scam perpetrated on the poor people of this country. The inflation tax, as I call it, paid by poor and middle class savers for cheaper financing of “crony socialism” and unscrupulous businessmen, has after all caused serious damage to the basic fundamentals of the Indian economy.

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