Thursday, September 18, 2014

Case against "Make in India" - II

Thought for the day
”You do ill if you praise, but worse if you censure, what you do not understand."
-          Leonardo da Vinci (Italian, 1452-1519)
Word for the day
Sporadic (adj)
Occurring singly, or occasionally, or in scattered instances.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Teaser for the day
What is top priority for "concerned" Indians at this point in time?
(a)   iPhone 6
(b)   Accessories for iPhone6
(c)   Counting abs of Shahrukh Khan
(d)   Separate VISA for visiting Edinburgh
(e)   Hotel booking for October 2-6 and November 6-9 long weekends.

Case against "Make in India" - II

Making cement is perhaps one of the simplest manufacturing processes. This primarily involves calcining the limestone mixing it with clay or ash and grinding it into fine powder. Having produced it for many decades, many manufacturers in India still claim superiority for using foreign technology in this process. A popular advertisement campaign reads 'Italian technology se bana majboot cement".
Similarly, most automotive companies claim superiority because they have use German, Japanese, American or Italian technology in manufacturing their products. Most heavy engineering, power equipment and consumer electronics manufacturers also use foreign technology in their factories or assembling plants.
In this backdrop, I see the "Make in India" as a mere political rhetoric.
Successive Indian governments since Rajiv Gandhi (1984-1989) have realized that India's strength lies in its vast and diligent labor force. Given the serious constraints in terms of capital, energy, technology and raw material the Nehruvian economic model based on heavy industries (largely converters of natural resources) has therefore been deliberately diverted to a service based economic model that is less energy & capital intensive.
The midway diversion has though remained inadequate in conviction and slack in pursuit. Little attention has been paid in developing and promoting the human resource, which was supposed to be the biggest strength of Indian economy. 
"Make in India" would now mark yet another midway diversion to the growth strategy. During parliamentary election campaign early this summer Rahul Gandhi said that his priority would be to get petty low skill mass manufacturing industrial jobs back from China. I fail to understand why on earth you want those low paying low skill jobs and highly polluting industries back. The focus should rather be on skilling the work force and creating high paying skilled jobs in advanced technology industry and services sector.
Besides, starting a manufacturing revolution in India would pre-requisite our energy production to at least grow by 50% in next couple of years. Not even hard core optimists would hope for that.
Allowing foreign manufacturers to establish facilities near the source of raw material and abundantly cheap labor could evoke immense interest. But what about experiences of POSCO and Vedanta. Does Modi government plan to override local concerns, especially relating to sustainability. Are we learning anything from recent Uttrakhand and Jammu and Kashmir disasters.
Moreover, it is elementary economics that you should not produce if you could buy cheap. The slowdown in China is deepening. The latest energy revolution in Americas (shale gas) is leading to a fresh manufacturing revolution there. The humongous amount of industrial capacities are lying idle and available for taking. This will lead to large scale spare capacities in Europe, as it slips into deflation and Euro weakens further. We should be looking at buying/using these facilities rather than building our own....to continue

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