Tuesday, September 9, 2014

On the brass tacks -III

Thought for the day

Lawless are they that make their wills their law."

-          William Shakespeare (English, 1564-1616)

Word for the day

Bevy (n)

A group; an assembly or collection.

(Source: Dictionary.com)

Teaser for the day

Surprisingly Congress Party does not appear to be making much effort to ask voters, who have rejected it, what went wrong!

The leaders are audaciously persistent with their claim that gullible and innocent voters were misled by the false propaganda of BJP

On the brass tacks -III

Capital and enterprise are two most critical elements for sustainable growth in any economy. At present Indian economy is facing inadequacy of both.
Capital adequacy
Capital could be in the form of risk capital (equity) or fixed return capital (debt). For long gestation high risk infrastructure projects in a developing economy where capacity to pay for services is always questionable usually risk capital should be preferred. But the model adopted in India relies heavily on debt capital. This narrows down the problem to (a) lending capability of the banking system and (b) managing capability of entrepreneurs.
In my view the lending capability of Indian financial system is lacking in all three aspects, viz., (a) capital adequacy; (b) technical expertise and (c) transparency and accountability.
As the following chart from Business Standard (4 Sep'14) shows, the capital adequacy of Indian banks has consistently declined past 6years.

Many recent cases have also highlighted that even leading financial institutions have failed in performing due diligence in several large debt deals. Even more bizarre is the fact that the failure has been recurrent in many cases.
Lack of an active broad debt market has also limited the capability of borrowers to raise money at efficient price.
Capital controls in various forms have also limited the ability of overseas investors to invest in capital starved infrastructure sector.
A sustainable growth path would thus prerequisite serious reforms in financial sector, including but not limited to a zero based review of FDI regulations, making banking sector adequate in terms of capital, technical expertise and accountability, and change in low equity model infrastructure development.
The new government has shown some promise in this direction, but implementation is yet to be seen..to continue tomorrow

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