Thursday, October 31, 2013

Some said, some unsaid - II

Thought for the day
“The person who doesn't scatter the morning dew will not comb gray hairs.”
-          Hunter S. Thompson (American, 1937-2005)
Word of the day
Crepuscule (n)
Twilight, Dusk
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Shri Nārada Uvāca
Ain’t “Legacy” a dynastic word?
Would Congress also claim the legacy of Subhash Chandra Bose, B. R. Ambedkar, Acharya Kriplani, Purushottam Das Tandon, Jai Prakash, Ram Manohar Lohia, Morarjj Desai, Jagjiwan Ram, V. P. Singh, and P. V. Narasimha Rao among others.
What about Pheroz Gandhi and Sanjay Gandhi?

Some said, some unsaid - II

…continuing from Yesterday (see here)
Said: “it is important to break the spiral of rising price pressures in order to curb the erosion of financial saving and strengthen the foundations of growth. It is in this context that the LAF repo rate has been increased by 25 basis points.”
Unsaid: The negative real rates persisting for long have eroded financial savings and weakened the foundations of growth. Expect rates to remain high or even go higher, till the time real rates become positive so as to incentivize higher financial savings.
Said: “With the reduction of the MSF rate and the increase in the repo rate in this review, the process of re-aligning the interest rate corridor to normal monetary policy operations is now complete.”
Unsaid: The normalization of monetary policy means that the short term rates have bottomed at elevated level and the repo rate may not become the effective rate in near term. Moreover, it would not be reasonable to expect further easing of liquidity and/or foreign currency deposit/borrowing rules.
Said: “On the external sector, a perceptible narrowing of the trade deficit coupled with policy interventions have brought some calm to the foreign exchange market, but normalcy will be restored only when the demand for dollars from public sector oil marketing companies is fully returned to the market.”
Unsaid: The calm in currency market may not endure for long. Expect closure of swap window for OMCs in near future.
RBI calendar
·         Mid-Quarter Review of Monetary Policy for 2013-14 on Wednesday, December 18, 2013.
·         Third Quarter Review of Monetary Policy for 2013-14 on , January 28, 2014.
Tasks to be completed by end November
·         Place the draft report of the group on Basel III Regulation on Countercyclical Capital Buffer on the RBI’s website for inviting comments/suggestions from various stakeholders.
·         Place a draft of the proposed framework for Domestic Systemically Important Banks (D-SIBs) on the RBI’s website.
·         Issue updated guidelines on stress testing of banks.
·         To issue the Scheme of Subsidiarisation of foreign banks
·         Revised restructuring guidelines for NBFCs
Tasks to be completed by end 2013
·         Issue final guidelines on unhedged foreign currency exposures.
·         Launch Inflation Indexed National Saving Securities  for retail investors.
·         Launch cash settled 10-year interest rate futures contracts.

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