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Showing posts with the label NRI

US Tariffs - Imagining the worst case

The US administration has imposed a 25% penal tariff on the goods imported from India, with few exceptions. The reason cited for this penal action is continued import of crude oil from Russia by the Indian refiners, despite the US administration insistence that sales proceeds from such oil sales are being used to finance the Russian war on Ukraine. These tariffs are over and above the MFN tariffs prevalent prior to 7th August 2025, and 25% reciprocal imposed with effect from 07th August. Considering the exemption for several items that are critical for the US supply chains, e.g., mobile phones, certain metal items, pharma, semiconductors, energy etc., the effective tariff rates on Indian exports to the US are estimated to be ~33%. India has termed this penal action “unfair, unjustified, unreasonable”. The public stance of the Indian government is that buying Russian oil is critical for our energy security, and it is our prerogative to decide from where to buy.  Considering the curr...

India: An economy under transformation

  Last week I  had written ( see here ) about how the fourth letter of the English Alphabet “D” has gained prominence in the financial market jargon. In particular, I find three “Ds”, viz., Digitalization, Deflation and Demographics most relevant for the economy and therefore markets. A recent speech of Dr. Michael Patra, Deputy Governor of RBI, as published in the latest monthly bulletin of RBI ( May 2023 ), highlighted some more ‘D” factors that are ushering India into a new age. Besides demographics & Digitalization, Mr. Patra emphasized on Diaspora, Diversification, Diplomacy, Dynamic Federalism, and Decarbonization as key factors in transformation of the Indian economy. The following are some excerpts from his speech: Diaspora:  An outward reflection of India’s demographic bonus is the vibrant expansion of Indian communities across the world. Over the years, our perceptions about the diaspora have also transformed from ‘brain drain’ to ‘brain gain’, spurred by th...