Showing posts with label Budget2020. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Budget2020. Show all posts

Thursday, February 13, 2020

Budgetary allocations - misplaced priorities

I had briefly mentioned about some lacunae in the intent expressed in the budget speech of the latest finance minister and elsewhere by the incumbent government, and the actual resource allocations made in the Union Budget 2020. (see here)
A careful analysis of the budgetary allocation prompts three issues that need to be seriously contemplated, viz.—
(1)   The need to correct misallocation of resources, which is primarily a consequence of the misplaced priorities of the governments in the past many decades.
(2)   Lack of political intent to do fresh (zero based) thinking on the national priorities in the current socio-economic context. The changes in budgetary allocation are therefore incremental and less effective. The instances of resource wastage are frequent and unfortunate, given the scarcity of resources.
(3)   Food subsidy continues to be the highest allocation in the budget despite decades of poverty alleviation efforts. This highlights the major weakness of our political mindset, which continues to be feudal in nature - provision for the subject instead of enablement and empowerment of citizens has been the approach of almost all governments that have been power since independence.
  • The changed demographic of the country necessitates significantly higher allocation to the human resource development. This is not only a national requirement for any government in India but also a responsibility of India towards the global community being the home to the largest number of youth in the world.
The allocations to Depart of Higher Education (1%), Department to Youth Affairs & Sports (0.2%), Department of School Education and Literacy (0.06%), are almost ridiculous in the wider context, even if we consider the amount mobilized through Education Cess.
  • India is infamously known as diabetic capital of the world. Obesity, Hypertension, Tuberculosis (TB) and Cancer have also assumed almost epidemic proportions in most towns of the country. Under these circumstances, healthcare and social security of the citizens must be a top priority. The finance minister in fact highlighted in her budget speech that government want to eliminate TB in next five years. But the budget allocations to Department of Health & Family Welfare (1.17%), Ministry of AYUSH (0.02%) are certainly commensurate with the need.
Rs 47805cr is provided for the urea subsidy, which is believed to be one of the reasons for soil and water contamination and health related issues. Whereas on the other hand, appx Rs 9300cr has been provided for health, family welfare, health research and AYUSH.
  • Employment is widely believed to be one of major crisis in India's socio-economic context. The government was expected to give top priority to the employment generation efforts. The government had been expressing this as one of the top priorities. However the budgetary allocations totally belie this intent.
Ministry of Labor and Employment gets just 1% of the budgetary allocation. The departments considered critical for employment generation like MSME (0.88%), Textile (0.4%), Tourism (0.29%), Animal Husbandry and Dairy (0.16%), Culture (0.07%), Panchayati raj (0.001%) are given miniscule allocations.
  • Despite all the promises and pressing needs, the department of renewable new and energy gets 0.68%, against 5.15% for Petroleum & Natutal Gas.

Thursday, February 6, 2020

Budget2020 - Intent vs action

The department wise allocations made in the budget make some noteworthy readings. Some of the key highlights could be noted as below:
  • The department wise allocations are highly skewed. Out of the total 67 departments & ministries, the top 7 account for 75.4% of the total budgetary allocation. Next 21 departments are allocated 19.76% of total allocation and the rest 39 departments get a meager 4.84% of the total allocation.
  • Food & Agriculture together account for 28.5% of the total budgetary allocation. Out of this 9% of total is allocated alone for the PM Kisan scheme. In FY20RE, 28% of the budget allocation to this item remained unspent.
  • Despite the urgent need for raising agriculture productivity and government emphasis on this, the department of agriculture research and education is allocated a paltry 0.3% of the budget.
  • Despite strong emphasis on the alternative medicine and promotion of traditional methods , the Ministry of Ayush is allocated a paltry Rs136cr or 0.01% of total allocation.
  • The budget speech emphasized on lower use of chemical fertilizers. Accordingly Urea subsidy has been reduced to 5.7% of total allocation from 6.2% FY20RE. However it continues to be 2x of the nutrient based subsidy.
  • Despite ambitious target for regional connectivity, the allocation to this head has been reduced as compared to FY20BE.
  • The allocation for promotion of industry and internal trade has been reduced to Rs57.27bn against Rs58.34bn in FY20RE.
  • Department of Food and PDA is allocated Rs1.21trn in FY21BE. However, only a measely Rs1.9bn are allocated towards capital expenditure by this department. This is depsite hge promise to improve food warehousing.
  • The ministry of culture is allocated 0.07% of the total allocation. Despite the big promise, only Rs1.8bn are allocated to development of museums.
  • Rs269bn are allocated for procurement of aircrafts and aeroengines by the Air Force.
  • Ministry of Electronic and IT is allocated 0.48% of the total allocation. The allocation for promotion of digital payment has been less than halved to Rs2.2bn as compared to Rs4.8bn in FY20RE.
  • The Mof Environment, Forst and Climate Change is given 0.12% of the total allocation. Rs12cr are allocated for Hazardous Substance Management, and Rs460 crore for pollution control.
  • Allocation for Nepal, under Ministrty of External Affairs has been cut to Rs8bn vs Rs12bn in FY20RE.
  • Nothing is provided for bank recapitalization in FY21BE. Rs69.5bn are provided for recapitalization of insurance companies.
  • The allocation for Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs has been reduced to 2.5% in FY21BE from 2.8% in FY20RE. 81% of this allocation is twoards metro projects.
  • A princely Rs10cr are allocated to Pradhan Mantri Innovative Learning Programme (DHRUV). Overall, Department of School Education and Literacy gets 0.06% of total allocations.
  • Department of higher education gets 1% of the total allocation. But 50% of this allocation is for Higher Education Financing Agency (HEFA) and Interest Subsidy and contribution for Guarantee Funds.
  • The allocation to National River Conservation Plan has been cut for Rs12bn in FY20RE to Rs8.4bn in FY21BE. Rs60cr are allocated for much talked about implementation of National Water Mission.
  • 0.3% of the total allocation is reserved for PM employment generation program (PMEGP).
  • 4.28% of the total allocation is appropriated towards LPG subsidy.
  • Railways is allocated 8.4% (Rs700bn) of the total budgetary allocations. However only Rs2.7bn is allocated for creating/improving passenger amenities.
  • Ministry of Road Transport & Highways is allocated Rs916.56bn or 11% of the total allocation. However, a meager Rs3.8bn are given for Research, Training, Studies and Other Road Safety Schemes.
  • Department of Science and Technology gets 0.4% of the total allocation.
  • Ministry of Tourism gets 0.02% of the allocation. Half of this allocation is towards Integrated Development of Tourist Circuits around specific themes (Swadesh Darshan)
  • Ministry of Youth Affairs gets 0.2% of the total allocation. Half of this allocation is towards Khelo India program.

 
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