Wednesday, May 19, 2021

Performance of NBFCs during pandemic

May 2021 Bulletin of the Reserve Bank of India, carries some useful insights about the performance of NBFCs during the pandemic. Being a critical source of consumer and MSME finance, performance of NBFCs is usually a broad indicator of the consumption demand, and consumer and business sentiments.

The key highlights of the NBFCs performance, especially during 2H2020, are noted as follows:

·         Pandemic has hit NBFCs hard. “The impact of the pandemic can be seen on both asset quality and liquidity, although the latter was addressed to a considerable extent through timely policy measures.”

·         An unfavourable mix of COVID-19, sell-offs in financial markets and the abrupt winding-up of specific schemes by a mutual fund contributed to NBFCs facing record spike in yields on their debt in Q1: 2020-21. The sharp market differentiation continued between the highly rated and other NBFCs, notwithstanding the surplus liquidity and aggressive policy rate cuts.

·         Retail participation in the NBFC debenture issuances, notwithstanding their small share in overall subscription, witnessed an upswing since June 2020, whereas Mutual funds reduced their exposure to NBFC CPs between March and September 2020 However, Q3:2020-21 witnessed a renewed interest of mutual funds in NBFC CPs. Banks’ subscription of CPs has also increased at a steady pace after Q1:2020-21.

·         The number of deposit-taking NBFCs (NBFCs-D) has gradually diminished and currently stands at 64, of which six have been prohibited by the RBI from accepting further deposits.

·         The consolidated balance sheet of NBFCs registered a Y-o-Y growth of 13.0 per cent and 11.6 per cent in Q2 and Q3:2020-21, respectively. “This double-digit growth in an adverse macroeconomic environment points to the resilience of NBFCs, which were able to cushion the impact of the pandemic on their balance sheets through quick adoption of technology, policy support and reasonably strong fundamentals.”

·         NBFCs continued to preserve cash to ensure adequate liquidity in view of the prevailing uncertainty due to the pandemic.

·         Due to risk aversion and market pessimism post-IL&FS, the share of market borrowings (debentures and CPs) in the total borrowing had fallen and correspondingly the share of bank borrowings had risen. NBFCs also moved towards longer term borrowings in tune with the tenure of their assets to manage their asset-liability mismatch.

·         In Q2 and Q3:2020-21 market conditions had eased, as indicated by the pick-up in market borrowings, particularly in debenture issuances. In the same period, bank borrowings grew at a robust pace, although slight deceleration was exhibited in Q3:2020-21.

·         In the aftermath of the IL&FS event, the NBFC sector attempted to realign its asset-liability mismatches by moving away from short-term borrowings to long-term borrowings. Accordingly, term loans growth remained high at 22.6 per cent and 18.3 per cent in Q2 and Q3:2020-21 (Y-o-Y), respectively.

Term loans constituted over four-fifth of NBFC bank borrowings at end-December 2020, followed by working capital loans and cash credit. While term loans continued to grow at a robust pace, they exhibited a deceleration in Q2 and Q3:2020-21, compared to Q2 and Q3: 2019-20 reflecting tepid demand for on lending of funds. An uptick in working capital loans was witnessed in Q3: 2020-21.

·         Over 70 per cent of the NBFC borrowings are now payable after 12 months and their share has remained stable, indicative of the growing market discipline among NBFCs. Similarly, over 70 per cent of NBFC advances are also now long term (that is, receivable after more than one year).

·         The industrial sector remained the largest recipient of credit from NBFCs-ND-SI even as its share moderated between Q3:2019-20 and Q3:2020-21. Retail sector, followed by services, are the other major beneficiaries and their share grew during the period under consideration.

·         Industrial sector, particularly micro and small and large industries, seemed the worst hit by the pandemic as they posted decline in credit growth. Imposition of lockdown, abrupt stoppage of economic activities and disruption in supply chains to contain the spread of the virus could have affected these sectors the most.

·         Passenger vehicles sales increased by 13.6 per cent in December 2020. It is mirrored in the disbursal of vehicle loans by NBFCs, as these loans grew by 10.7 per cent in Q3:2020-21. Loans against gold also grew robustly as it filled in the cash requirements and possible working capital requirements of small firms.

·         The profitability of the NBFCs improved in Q2:2020-21 compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year on account of steeper fall in expenditure than in income. Given the persistence of infections, the full effects of the lockdown and suspension of business on the asset quality of NBFCs will be evident gradually.



To summarize, NBFCs have so far done commendably well in managing the impact of pandemic as well fall out of IL&FS and Franklin Templeton. The asset liability mismatched has been mostly rationalized. Balance sheets are in a better position than a year ago position. Operationally most large NBFCs are now more cost efficient. The spread between of cost of funds for large and small NBFCs is rising, so we should expect more consolidation in the industry, with larger NBFCs becoming even more larger and cost efficient. On the downside the impact of second wave lockdown is expected be much more severe than the first wave. The impact of this on NBFC asset quality would be known only in next 6-9 months.

 

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