Friday, August 9, 2019

India qualified for inclusion in playing XI

India qualified for inclusion in playing XI
In past one century, the global community has done many experiments to find a suitable global order. The year 2017 marked 100yrs of two very important global events.
In 1917, Russian revolution successfully dismantled the Tsarist autocracy and laid the foundation of USSR. In the following decades, many smaller independent European states would become subservient to a mighty Russian socialist army, and together become one pole in the emerging bi-polar world, forever shrouded by the specter of cold war.
In the same year, USA decided to join the War as an associate of the Allies - a development that tilted the scale in favor of the Allies, bringing the War to an end in 1918. In the following decades, USA would evolve into a formidable military and economic power that would lead the democratic allies to become the second pole in the emerging bi-polar world.
The imperialist global order that existed since preceding couple of centuries, began to dismantle. Many colonies of European empires would get freedom. The British Empire that was built in three centuries and covered almost one fourth of the world population and area before the War, would get completely dismantle in the following three decades.
It took three decades for the new order to consolidate. The new order was characterized by UN, NATO, WARSAW, Mao, Israel, NAM, Bretton Woods, World Bank, Cold War, energy cartel (OPEC), et. al. The globalization that was a norm prior to the first War was completely overpowered by the forces of nationalism and protectionism.
The new order lasted till the German Wall fell and USSR disintegrated. This unleashed a new wave of globalization. Global Trade (WTO), Internet, dematerialization of assets, Europe integration into a single market, China's entry into mainstream global trade (through WTO), free flow of capital, G-20, BRICS, numerous FTAs, global war on Islamic fundamentalism, energy security, climate control and global financial crisis, dominated this phase.
The events that have taken place in past one decade indicate that the extant global order may be crumbling under pressure, as the forces of nationalism and protectionism are rearing their head again.
There are two prominent debates that are currently going on. The first debate seeks to challenge the very premise - "whether the current state of globalization is reversible at all?" The second debate accepts the inevitability of the de-globalization, and is therefore focusing on the shape of the new order that would be emerging in next couple o decade. Two economic super powers China and USA are leading the forces of the change.
On previous occasion, when India was mostly a colonial or controlled & closed economy, we just played second fiddle to super powers and suffered some collateral damage from the major changes in the world. In fact one can reasonably argue that two great wars weakened the British Empire considerably, precipitating the independence of India, along with many other countries.
This time however our exposure to the global economy and geo-politics is much wider and deeper; and so would be the impact of any material change in the global order. It is critical that India demonstrates its competence and willingness to play a prominent role in the global affairs, economic, strategic as well as geo-political, to be accepted as a main player in the game. I see the recent events in relation to the state of Jammu & Kashmir in this light.
In my view India has played very well and qualified for inclusion in final playing XI as an all-rounder, i.e., an economic, strategic and geo-political major.

1 comment:

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