Wednesday, December 12, 2018

2018 and beyond - key highlights

Some food for thought
"A beast does not know that he is a beast, and the nearer a man gets to being a beast, the less he knows it."
—George McDonald (Scottish Novelist, 1824-1905)
Word for the day
Repartee (n)
A quick and witty reply 
 
First thought this morning
In a popular 1992 Hollywood movie "A Few Good Men", two US marines face court martial for causing death of a fellow soldier while torturing him at command of their senior officer. The court holds them "not guilty" of the charge of murder, but still orders them to be dishonorably discharged from the service.
Hearing the decision, the junior marine Downey asks his senior in bewilderment, "what did we do wrong? We did nothing wrong. We just obeyed the orders!"
The senior marine Dawson answers with brilliant composure "Yeah, we did. We were supposed to fight for people who couldn't fight for themselves. We were supposed to fight for Willie (the deceased marine)."
I could not help this climax scene from the movie replaying back of my mind, while receiving numerous phone calls regarding resignation of RBI Governor, Mr. Urjit Patel.
I feel that silently agreeing to the "political command of demonetization", was a disgrace to the office of RBI Governor. He should have fought for the system, he was supposed to manage and regulate.
I believe that in past most governments have tried to influence the central bank to suit the monetary policy to its political agenda. There is nothing new in this; and perhaps nothing wrong. Most governors brilliantly resisted all such endeavor and maintained the autonomy and dignity of the institution; making RBI one of the most respected central bankers globally.
I strongly believe that if we want to become a relevant economic and political force globally, we need to strengthen our institutions and free them from random political discretions. To meet this end, an autonomous constitutional body must be formed to make all senior level appointments, like heads of all regulators, public corporations, and secretaries to various ministries, etc.
For RBI, my suggestion would be to amend RBI Act, and provide for appointment of the Governor from amongst the head of the largest five commercial banks, provided such person has served minimum two years as such head. Any lateral appointment like Mr. Patel or his predecessor Mr. Rajan, should be made at the bank level. Let them serve there for two years, understand the intricacies of the Indian economy, markets and financial system.
Chart of the day

 
2018 and beyond - Key highlights
Global economy

 
Domestic economy

Global markets


 
India markets

 

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