Tuesday, April 3, 2018

GST - A winner

"More tears are shed over answered prayers than unanswered ones."
—Saint Teresa of Avila (Spanish, 1515-1582)
Word for the day
Inscape (n)
The unique essence or inner nature of a person, place, thing, or event, especially depicted in poetry or a work of art.
Malice towards none
What kind of parents would buy question papers for their children?
How far they think, could their children travel with these broken crutches they are buying?
First random thought this morning
The furor seen over the CBSE decision to conduct a fresh examination in cases where examination paper were found to be fraudulently leaked beforehand, is unprecedented.
Even a decade back, students and parents would have accepted the decision of the board and government as fait accompli and moved on. The Society, in that sense is certainly more aware and evolved. It actively and assertively seeks more transparency and accountability for government decisions and actions.
I am not sure whether the government is recognizing this change in the society, because it does have some answers to provide before 2019 elections.

GST - A winner

Over the long weekend last week, I met a variety of people. I also visited some key NCR markets to feel the sentiments. I think it appropriate to share some of my impressions with my readers.
The best thing I discovered was the dramatic change in people's behavior with regard to GST. Almost everyone seems to have accepted GST as intrinsic to their business. The teething troubles witnessed earlier seems to be easing. Systems are stabilizing.
I even saw a wholesale textile trader guiding and training his buyers from small towns in UP and MP about GST. Very interestingly, he was guiding them why and how they should gradually move from 'cash only' dealings to 'cheque dealings'. He even has set 31st March 2019 as deadline for accepting cash payments from them.
Insofar as the persistently poor GST collection data is concerned, based on my interaction with some businessmen and tax professionals, I presume there is huge leakage in GST. A number of unscrupulous businessmen, aided by tax professionals, are able not only to evade payment of GST, but are also fraudulently claiming refunds. I am sure the authorities are aware of this and working on this. This leakage might take few more quarters to plug. In the meantime, many genuine tax payers may suffer due to delayed refunds. Of course, there is no denying that delays in refunds, to some extent could be due to deliberate delaying tactics by tax authorities to manage the budgeted tax collection targets.
Nonetheless, my impression is that from FY20 onwards, GST will indeed prove to be the boon for Indian economy, as it was originally expected.
I do not say it because I feel that tax revenue will grow due to this. I feel so, because this will likely bring an important behavioral change in the typical Indian businessmen.
Notwithstanding with what the famous World Bank (see here) report said about Indian GST, my impression is that, once stable, it will make doing business really easy. Moreover, it will add scalability to the businesses, which was hitherto hindered by petty tax avoidance considerations.
A chance meeting with a senior revenue officer was also quite enlightening.
The officer believes that "the Indian economy has never been so fragmented. It seems there are thousands of unconnected silos.
There are some segments of the economy that are doing extremely well. There are some which are just tagging along — helpless and worried about future. There are some which are taking risk of making large investment in transformative technology and business practices to adapt to new age business paradigm. But there is a large segment that is seriously distressed. This segment may not be too large in terms of business volumes, tax revenue or overall profitability, but still remains a key to consumption.

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