Thursday, May 18, 2017

Be with times

"The foot feels the foot when it feels the ground."
—Buddha (Indian, 563-483BC)
Word for the day
Forgettery (n)
A faculty or facility for forgetting; faulty memory, e.g., A witness with a very convenient forgettery
Malice towards none
"Raid" sounds like a war cry.
Can't we use a more civilized term like "Inspected" or "Visited" to report visits of enforcement authorities at someone's place?
                     
First random thought this morning
Chinese manufacturers have studied the Indian traditions and markets very closely. That is why they have been able to penetrate all our festivals and benefit from it by selling God idols, Diwali lights and fire crackers, Holi colors, home decorations etc.
Patanjli Ayurveda is using the strategy. They go to the market, see what is selling and launch a seemingly cheaper version of all such products.
Emotions are evoked to hide the complete lack of innovation!

Be with times

The consistent "below potential" performance of Indian economy has been a matter of concern for both the investors (especially global investors) and the government. Though we have seen some instances of high growth (the best being 1994-97, 2005-09), such growth did never realistically appeared sustainable or consistent. In fact all such instances of sporadic high growth invariably led to (i) crumbling of already inadequate physical infrastructure; and (ii) heightened social strife as the system was not able to complement the burgeoning aspirations.
As already stated on multiple occasions, I have always been skeptical about the matrix commonly used to measure the potential growth, as it mostly ignores the qualitative aspects.
It is common knowledge that inadequate basic infrastructure, both social & physical and unacceptably large level of inequalities (socio-economic & regional) have been constricting the economic growth. For example, lack of adequate parking space (and not the affordability) may be limiting the demand for passenger cars. Poor health due to malnutrition may be impacting the productivity of labor. Inadequate port capacity, and not necessarily the demand, may be limiting the foreign trade.
A more serious limiting factor of our growth has been the poor quality of our human resources and the famous Jugaad mindset. The level of education & training in the country has been more than wanting. Moreover, the "quick fix" mindset for problem solving may have prevented finding and implementing sustainable and scalable solutions.
The ‘jugaad’ mindset has traditionally pushed back India and Indians tenaciously into survival mode, preventing development of a strong foundation for economic growth and prosperity.
The ‘jugaad’ mindset reflects poorly on almost every aspect of the socio-economic life in India. This has severely impacted the pursuit of excellence, a hall mark of Indian art, culture, engineering, architecture, industry till 19th century, at least. Today, “Quality” is something India and Indians are not particularly known for globally.
As stated earlier also, occasionally I get the opportunity to work with some of the active participants in the Prime Minister Skill Development Scheme. After having witnessed the training process and assessing the training content & trainers' quality, I have mixed feelings.
During the course of my engagement with the program, I always get a feeling that this scheme might not be much different from MNREGA or its previous incarnation, viz., JLN Grameen Rozgar Yozna. The facilitator, the trainer & the trainee all appeared more interested in the immediate payout rather than the long term impact of the capacity building of the intended beneficiaries.
Without getting into the debate over issues of quality and utility of the training under the scheme, and potential corruption involved in that, I find the endeavor lacking conceptually.
I get a feeling that there is no primary driving force behind the skill development mission. It just addresses the status quo; no "forward looking" involved. Such a massive exercise, simply ignores the global trends in automation & robotics changing the economic landscape faster than ever.
The prospective trainees just go out in the market, search for the "Required" board hanging outside some work place and seek training so that they could get into that work place. There is no aptitude test of the trainee, demand assessment of the skill, or sustainability of the business that would employ that skill.
Imagine, half a million embroidery workers getting trained in three years only to find that automatic machines have replaced their skills; or a million dairy workers getting skill training only to discover that all dairy farms have been fully automated; or five million commercial drivers trained to find that vehicles needing a driver are no longer produced.
Arguably, the training improves workers' immediate employability. It may also aid the industry inasmuch as it augments the availability of skilled and semi skilled workers. The logical extension is productivity enhancement. A deeper study is required to establish these benefits.
But, my point is that should the skill building mission not have a larger vision. Should it be perpetuating the status quo or should it be forward looking?
And for god sake why do we need 100,000 yoga teachers, when a free app on everyone's smart phone can guide everyone interested in learning yoga. A Rs100 DVD can do the trick in schools. The required TV set and DVD player will cost just one salary of the yoga teacher.
"Skill India" and "Make in India" are noble ideas for human resource development. But we need to make sure that these do not end up as mere government schemes or political slogans.
If you ask me, I would focus on the following five skills in the initial phase of the mission:
(a)   Old age & child care: The changes in demography (more old people & more working couples), will keep this skill relevant. It is at least 50yr when robots become preferred worker to take up this job.
(b)   Religious preachers: Each individual will have their own problems and would need a unique personalized solution. Robots or youtube tutorials may not take up this job any time soon. (I am glad to note that MP government has taken an initiative in this direction)
(c)    Sportspersons: Despite a large number of youth hooking up to virtual gaming, physical sports remain as popular.
(d)   Artists & entertainers: Regardless of advancement in technology, painters, singers, sculptors, performers, moviemakers might still remain in demand.
(e)    Police and security personnel
Read with the following

No comments:

Post a Comment