Friday, July 31, 2015

Growth vs. sustainability

Thought for the day
"There is a harmony in autumn, and a luster in its sky, which through the summer is not heard or seen, as if it could not be, as if it had not been!"
-          Percy Bysshe Shelley (English, 1792-1822))
Word for the day
Schlemiel (n)
An awkward and unlucky person for whom things never turn out right.
(Source: Dictionary.com)
Malice towards none
Two Muslims were buried in India yesterday.
One was mourned by all125cr Indians.
The other perhaps by none outside his family.
And some would still argue that it's about religion!

Growth vs. sustainability

As per an ancient Hindu tradition, all Hindus are obligated to feed Brahmins and crows during the ancestors' fortnight (पितृपक्ष) that usually comes in the month of September every year. It is widely believed that feeding Brahmins and crows in this fortnight pleases souls of the ancestors and thus redeems the person performing this ritual from the debt of his ancestors.
Besides, a grand feast has to be organized by all Hindu males within 3weeks of the death of their parents, wives and children in which Brahmins, Dogs and Crows are fed.
I know from my interactions with numerous villagers and urban poor, this feast (श्राद्ध) could be one of the top 20 reasons behind perpetual indebtedness of rural Indian household, bonded labor and distress.
The moral of the story is that the feast will be held regardless of you. In case you want to enjoy the feast, you need to survive till good times (अच्छे दिन) arrive; lest Brahmins and crow shall enjoy the feast.
Relating this analogy to the politics and economics -
Ø  It must be understood that to benefit from whatever good a government does, the political parties running that government will benefit from that good only if they survive to see the result of their good deeds. Otherwise, the party that will form the successive government will enjoy the benefit. We have seen this recently, when the UPA-1 government enjoyed the fruit of seeds sown by NDA-1 government.
I am sure PM Modi is fully aware of this and he would make sure that he survives long enough to enjoy the feast of all structural reforms he is trying to implement.
Ø  In past one decade corporate India has invested huge amount of money in creating capacities. Many of these capacities, especially in infrastructure and real estate sector, have been created without bothering about the present demand conditions. Consequently, a significant amount of these capacities are economically unviable. Promoters who created these capacities, bank managers who funded these capacities, and investors who provided equity to these promoters and lenders - all are in distress.
There is no argument against need for these capacities. The demand will also come in next few years. But the question is who will enjoy the feast. The bank managers would have retired or shunted out for his poor performance. The promoters would have diluted his equity substantially at distress price. The equity investors would have booked the loss.
The Brahmins and Crows - the new bank manager in whose tenure these capacities will become viable adding to bank's profitability, investors who will buy equity at distress prices and acquirers who would be managing the show - will feast on the misery of others.
The conclusion is simple - Growth is critical component of life. But growth by at the cost of sustainability only benefits the Brahmins and Crows!

No comments:

Post a Comment