Friday, July 26, 2013

As you sow, so shall you reap

On Wednesday evening Swiss cement major Holcim announced ownership restructuring of its Indian operations. In short, Holcim pared its economic interest in ACC from ~50% to ~30% by effectively transferring ~20% economic interest to minority shareholders of Ambuja Cement at ~20% premium to the current market price.

In consideration Holcim got Rs35bn in cash and ~10% additional economic interest in Ambuja Cement. The deal apparently has no tax or duty payout, as it is effected through Mauritius based entity and therefore enjoys the benefits of DTAA (Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement).

The investors, analysts and commentators are crying foul, as they feel that minority shareholders have been shortchanged by Holcim and investment case for both the Indian entities has been seriously damaged.
In our view, the deal (a) does disregard the interests of the minority shareholders of Ambuja Cement; and (b) may erode value of ACC minority shareholders in due course as the stock get de-rated due to likely lower focus from parent entity.

Nonetheless, the deal prima facie appears within the four walls of the extant legal and regulatory framework of the country.

While refraining from commenting on the morality of the deal, we would certainly like to remind the institutional investors and analysts who are crying foul over this deal that only a few months ago they had lambasted the government over implementation of GAAR (General Anti-(tax) Avoidance Rules).
Though the initial protests were related to retroactive implementation, they were mostly convinced that implementing GAAR would be detrimental to the financial markets and therefore investors’ interest. They pressurized the government to defer the implementation.

In our view, this deal structure would have been very different if GAAR was in force as Holcim might have to shell out tax on sale of 20% economic interest in ACC.

In our view, this will certainly be not the only instance where both minority shareholders as well exchequer are shortchanged. We may see many more such deals given the vulnerability of our government. Watch out for notification of relaxed FDI norms in telecom etc. In our view, presently the government is not in a position to do anything that may adversely affect the interest of foreign investors. In any case, even if it wishes, it cannot do anything till next July when the next regular budget will be presented by the new government.

This will not only severely hit the already feeble confidence of equity investors in India, but also have long term policy implications.


As we highlighted yesterday, instead of playing the game of cat and mouse over every news item, policy action, corporate action – investors, particularly institutional investors, should evaluate the situation on the basis of conceptual framework of finance and economics.

Thought for the day

“History will be kind to me for I intend to write it.”
- Winston Churchill (1874-1965)

Word of the day

Grammatology (n):
The scientific study of systems of writing.

(Source: Dictionary.com)

Shri Nārada Uvāca

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