Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Salvation lies in the temple


Salvation lies in the temple
I had written this earlier also. I am reiterating it, as I strongly believe that the roots of Indian economy shall remain weak if not reinforced and guided by our ethos - religion, traditions and culture.
Many years ago someone told me "believe in your strengths and weakness". I emphatically said, "I do!" He paused for a while and said calmly, "my son, knowing is different from believing. For example, you know that you will die someday. But do you really believe it?"
Years later, mingling with the crowd at the Haridwar Kumbh, I understood the meaning of what that person was trying to tell me many years ago.
We all, especially our politicians and social media activists, know the strengths and glorious past of our country. But do we really believe in that? In my firm opinion, no, we do not!
I firmly believe that religion is at the core of our society. The Indian political and economic paradigms therefore must be constructed around religion. (Anyone who has doubts, must carefully notice the thick red threads tied on the wrists of all the secular, socialist politicians and read the matrimonial advertisements of IT professionals.)
Even a cursory study of Indian history, whether critically proven or mythological, would suggest that the best economic and political periods in the history of the sub-continent were when a righteous king was at the helm and he protected and promoted the Religion. Conversely, the worst periods, economic and political, were those when some tyrant attempted to destroy the religious beliefs and knowledge.
Traditionally in India, education, research, arts, architecture, science, and the State itself, have all developed and prospered around religion. Religion is also intertwined with agriculture, which has been the primary profession.
By adopting secularism as a major social construct, especially since 1970s, the Indian State has unfortunately equated religion with bigotry. This has not only made religion a divisive (instead of bonding) force, but has also led to the degeneration of strong traditions of pursuing spiritual, scientific and material knowledge for the larger welfare of human kind.
In past four decades we have reached a stage where religion is used to evoke fear & violent passion in people's mind and manipulate them. Money & power, and not the knowledge & evolution, seem to have become the primary aim of religion. Ignorance and superstitions are destroying people's life. It is commonly seen that the gullible people borrow money to feed illiterate and dirty persons, whose only quality is their surname.
Intelligentsia and academics are scared to explore and propagate the tremendous wealth of knowledge stored in traditional scriptures for the fear of being labeled "communal and bigot". Politicians are scared to promote the traditions of knowledge seeking, scientific enquiry and spiritual evolution.
The consequences are that the entire nation bothers about winning one medal in any global supporting event but does never bother about winning a Nobel in mathematics, physics or medicine.
Start ups are good. But we need to believe that Apple, Facebook, Twitter and Amzon et. al. are outcome of a Society that promotes and cherishes knowledge seeking and freedom of thought. It is not the other way round.
In a country where most Magistrates and senior Judges seriously believe that God can be disparaged and insulted, something urgently needs to be done.
I have been hearing the phrase "21st century belongs to India" for past two decades. Many politicians and analysts have used this cliché to emphasize the tremendous economic opportunities that India could offer in next few decades, given its young demography. The list of investors and global States seeking strategic partnerships who have been excited by the potential is long and impressive. The list of investors and Statesmen who have been disappointed in past two decades is also not small.
The point to evaluate critically is whether India sans its core ethos is viable as an economic and strategic power house! In my view, it is definitely not.
Religion has been a major force in core Indian ethos. Traditionally it has been the influence of religion that has brought the concepts of scientific inquisition, righteousness, moral rectitude, social responsibility, environmental sustainability, debt management, HR management, and just & fair taxation, etc. in the trade and commerce.
Post Independence the State has been over focusing on micromanaging businesses and ignoring key social issues. This has weakened the core fabric of Indian society, inasmuch as that taking pride in our rich heritage has become synonym with bigotry for all - the so called "nationalist" who takes pride, the so called "secularist" who is too scared to take pride, and the so called "rationalist" who find nothing to take pride in Indian heritage.
Consequently, places of worship have degenerated from being center of learning & spiritual evolution to shelters for hatemongers, fearmongers, power seekers, and wealth hoarders. Many of these promote superstitions and block scientific inquiry to the detriment of society at large.
In my view, if we want to make this century belong to India, then Indian State—
(a)   should leave business completely to private enterprise;
(b)   play a much larger role in social awakening and create an enabling environment of mutual trust, self motivation, and compassion;
(c)    make the Temple (of course including Mosques, Churches, Monasteries, Gurudwaras, Mutts, Agiyaris, Derasars and others) play a larger evolutionary role in progress of the society, rather than continuing to de-generate further and stay a stumbling block in the path to socio-economic progress; (Taking their gold for managing current account deficit is not sufficient!)
The State must realize and accept that politicians and bureaucrats are naturally and seriously handicapped insofar as their understanding of business is concerned. They should just secure borders, maintain law & order and promote social harmony. So far they have focused on the former at the expense of the latter for the disastrous consequences.
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Friday, May 19, 2017

Means are equally important

"We are shaped by our thoughts; we become what we think."
—Buddha (Indian, 563-483BC)
Word for the day
Zugzwang (n)
A situation in chess where a player is limited to moves that cost pieces or have a damaging positional effect.
Malice towards none
Reema Lagoo: Millions of Indians secretly wanted a mother like her.
Will be missed for long.
First random thought this morning
The super success of Bahubali: the Conclusion may not be as good a news for Indian cinema industry, as it may sound at first instance.
One, a majority of movie watchers may have defined budget for entertainment. Spending more on Bahubali may mean cutting expense on other movie (s). Consequently, we might see many otherwise good movies may not doing that well on Box Office. So in net effect, we may be at par at the end of the day.
Secondly, It may trigger a race for making very high budget movies, many of which may actually not do as good, inflicting huge losses to the industry.
The positive is that we may certainly see some really world class movies being made in India.

Means are equally important

Economic growth which is not sustainable and equitable has little meaning, in my view. Such growth, whatever statistic shows, brings only misery and dissipation.
A harmonious and peaceful society enjoying a decent lifestyle should be the ultimate goal of economic growth and development. Otherwise, it has little meaning, regardless of the statistical achievements.
Swami Jagadatmananda in his famous work “Learn to Live” extolled the readers - the sincerity and honesty of the means to achieve a goal is equally important as the goal itself.
Mahatama Gandhi succinctly explained — “Independence begins at the bottom. A society must be built in which every village has to be self sustained and capable of managing its own affairs. It will be trained and prepared to perish in the attempt to defend itself against any onslaught from without. This does not exclude dependence on and willing help from neighbours or from the world. It will be a free and voluntary play of mutual forces. In this structure composed of innumerable villages, there will be ever widening, never ascending circles.
Growth will not be a pyramid with the apex sustained by the bottom. But it will be an oceanic circle whose center will be the individual. Therefore the outermost circumference will not wield power to crush the inner circle but will give strength to all within and derive its own strength from it.”
More popularly, in blockbuster Hindi movie DDLJ the hero Shahrukh Khan articulated this thought in a conversation with the mother of his beloved. When for the fear of her husband’s retribution, the mother advises the two lovers to elope – the hero tells her that the path suggested by her appears easy but it would lead to nowhere. He would rather prefer the path of courage, honesty and integrity which though arduous definitely leads to the desired goal.
Many may want to argue that it sounds utterly utopian in the current context. Some may yield that it is desirable but argue that we have traveled too far down the road we took post independence from British rule; and it is too late to go back and begin again.
In my view, this defeatist and fatigued attitude is unwarranted. What we need is a zero base discussion on the subject and solutions will emerge that would lead us to the desired goal of making 1.3bn people free, fearless and happy. An incremental approach howsoever sincere might not yield the desired results.
Even statistically, to propel the economic growth to much higher orbits, we need a socio-political organization for the country that is free, fearless and fair.
Social sector reforms, in my view, should be given top most priority in the economic growth and development agenda, rather than making it an aftereffect of the economic development.
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Thursday, May 18, 2017

Be with times

"The foot feels the foot when it feels the ground."
—Buddha (Indian, 563-483BC)
Word for the day
Forgettery (n)
A faculty or facility for forgetting; faulty memory, e.g., A witness with a very convenient forgettery
Malice towards none
"Raid" sounds like a war cry.
Can't we use a more civilized term like "Inspected" or "Visited" to report visits of enforcement authorities at someone's place?
                     
First random thought this morning
Chinese manufacturers have studied the Indian traditions and markets very closely. That is why they have been able to penetrate all our festivals and benefit from it by selling God idols, Diwali lights and fire crackers, Holi colors, home decorations etc.
Patanjli Ayurveda is using the strategy. They go to the market, see what is selling and launch a seemingly cheaper version of all such products.
Emotions are evoked to hide the complete lack of innovation!

Be with times

The consistent "below potential" performance of Indian economy has been a matter of concern for both the investors (especially global investors) and the government. Though we have seen some instances of high growth (the best being 1994-97, 2005-09), such growth did never realistically appeared sustainable or consistent. In fact all such instances of sporadic high growth invariably led to (i) crumbling of already inadequate physical infrastructure; and (ii) heightened social strife as the system was not able to complement the burgeoning aspirations.
As already stated on multiple occasions, I have always been skeptical about the matrix commonly used to measure the potential growth, as it mostly ignores the qualitative aspects.
It is common knowledge that inadequate basic infrastructure, both social & physical and unacceptably large level of inequalities (socio-economic & regional) have been constricting the economic growth. For example, lack of adequate parking space (and not the affordability) may be limiting the demand for passenger cars. Poor health due to malnutrition may be impacting the productivity of labor. Inadequate port capacity, and not necessarily the demand, may be limiting the foreign trade.
A more serious limiting factor of our growth has been the poor quality of our human resources and the famous Jugaad mindset. The level of education & training in the country has been more than wanting. Moreover, the "quick fix" mindset for problem solving may have prevented finding and implementing sustainable and scalable solutions.
The ‘jugaad’ mindset has traditionally pushed back India and Indians tenaciously into survival mode, preventing development of a strong foundation for economic growth and prosperity.
The ‘jugaad’ mindset reflects poorly on almost every aspect of the socio-economic life in India. This has severely impacted the pursuit of excellence, a hall mark of Indian art, culture, engineering, architecture, industry till 19th century, at least. Today, “Quality” is something India and Indians are not particularly known for globally.
As stated earlier also, occasionally I get the opportunity to work with some of the active participants in the Prime Minister Skill Development Scheme. After having witnessed the training process and assessing the training content & trainers' quality, I have mixed feelings.
During the course of my engagement with the program, I always get a feeling that this scheme might not be much different from MNREGA or its previous incarnation, viz., JLN Grameen Rozgar Yozna. The facilitator, the trainer & the trainee all appeared more interested in the immediate payout rather than the long term impact of the capacity building of the intended beneficiaries.
Without getting into the debate over issues of quality and utility of the training under the scheme, and potential corruption involved in that, I find the endeavor lacking conceptually.
I get a feeling that there is no primary driving force behind the skill development mission. It just addresses the status quo; no "forward looking" involved. Such a massive exercise, simply ignores the global trends in automation & robotics changing the economic landscape faster than ever.
The prospective trainees just go out in the market, search for the "Required" board hanging outside some work place and seek training so that they could get into that work place. There is no aptitude test of the trainee, demand assessment of the skill, or sustainability of the business that would employ that skill.
Imagine, half a million embroidery workers getting trained in three years only to find that automatic machines have replaced their skills; or a million dairy workers getting skill training only to discover that all dairy farms have been fully automated; or five million commercial drivers trained to find that vehicles needing a driver are no longer produced.
Arguably, the training improves workers' immediate employability. It may also aid the industry inasmuch as it augments the availability of skilled and semi skilled workers. The logical extension is productivity enhancement. A deeper study is required to establish these benefits.
But, my point is that should the skill building mission not have a larger vision. Should it be perpetuating the status quo or should it be forward looking?
And for god sake why do we need 100,000 yoga teachers, when a free app on everyone's smart phone can guide everyone interested in learning yoga. A Rs100 DVD can do the trick in schools. The required TV set and DVD player will cost just one salary of the yoga teacher.
"Skill India" and "Make in India" are noble ideas for human resource development. But we need to make sure that these do not end up as mere government schemes or political slogans.
If you ask me, I would focus on the following five skills in the initial phase of the mission:
(a)   Old age & child care: The changes in demography (more old people & more working couples), will keep this skill relevant. It is at least 50yr when robots become preferred worker to take up this job.
(b)   Religious preachers: Each individual will have their own problems and would need a unique personalized solution. Robots or youtube tutorials may not take up this job any time soon. (I am glad to note that MP government has taken an initiative in this direction)
(c)    Sportspersons: Despite a large number of youth hooking up to virtual gaming, physical sports remain as popular.
(d)   Artists & entertainers: Regardless of advancement in technology, painters, singers, sculptors, performers, moviemakers might still remain in demand.
(e)    Police and security personnel
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Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Skill India for global economy

"I never see what has been done; I only see what remains to be done."
—Budha (Indian, 563-483BC)
Word for the day
Luddite (n)
Someone who is opposed or resistant to new technologies or technological change.
Malice towards none
After three years, may we ask PM, what's the progress on his promise to establish special courts for cases involving politicians, so that all such cases are decided within a period of one year?
First random thought this morning
Integrating the solar energy equipment into normal building construction material could be a major innovation in the coming years. The work has already begun with roof tiles and window panes incorporating PV cells.
I have yet not heard someone taking a lead in India. Designer solar walls & roofing sheets, roof tiles, pillars & poles, car, bus & train roofs, doors and windows, pavement tiles - the opportunities are immense.
Government may want to spend some time and money on this also.

Skill India for global economy

Millions of reams have been used to write and publish about the demographic characteristics of India. Many stories, themes and strategies have been built around the young demographic profile of 1.25bn Indians.
Almost all these stories and strategies recognize the young Indian as a great opportunity - "Demographic dividend" for the Indian economy. A few of them have words of caution also. Failure to channelize this vast reservoir of energy into productive streams may not only dissipate the demographic dividend but also prove to be counterproductive in terms of widespread civil unrest and violent disruptions.
I have not come across any presentation that classifies this demographic profile as the solemn accountability and responsibility of India to the world.
The global community has always valued resource rich nations, expecting them to behave in a responsible manner to preserve the global order.
The capital rich western world has been expected to help the poor and starved of the world. The world looked forward to them to fund technological advancement, preservation of cultural heritage, assisting global growth and development. Even after taking full cognizance of the allegations of imperialism and suppression, I believe that financially rich communities have worked for the betterment of human life by funding technological innovation, life science research & development, productivity enhancement, and development assistance to the economically lagging world.
Similarly, nations rich in natural resources like minerals etc. have been expected to prospect and exploit these resources in optimum manner to assist the sustenance and growth of the global economy.
My point is that now since India possesses the largest pool of prospective workers for the world, should it not be responsibility of Indian government to prospect, grow, and develop this resource for the larger benefit of the global community.
This is even more pertinent in the context of the current global context. In places like Europe and Japan the root cause of the economic challenges could be traced to their aging demographic profile. China is also like to join the club soon. Under the circumstances it is the responsibility of India to provide educated, skilled and trained workforce to the global economy.
A number of research papers and surveys have shown that (a) Child and mother nutrition level in India is sub-standard consequently child mortality rates are poor; (b) higher and professional education standards are extremely poor consequently a large number of Indian graduates are unemployable even in routine jobs; (c) There is acute shortage of competent scientists to scale up research and development (R&T) activities to make Indian businesses competitive at global stage.
"Skill India" and "Make in India" are noble ideas for human resource development. But we need to make sure that these do not end up prospecting and developing only blue collar low skilled workers. In that case India will not only fail in its responsibility to global community but also slither back into the lower orbit of economic development...to continue
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Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Believe what you know

"Chaos is inherent in all compounded things. Strive on with diligence."
—Budha (Indian, 563-483BC)
Word for the day
Imprimatur (n)
Sanction or approval; support, e.g., our plan has the company president's imprimatur.
Malice towards none
Kapil Mishra (AAP) and Naseemuddin Siddiqui have added a new manifestation to the phrase Coming Out
First random thought this morning
I am not sure about how the pet project of PM Modi, viz., Make in India is doing in industrial sphere. But the hype created by it has certainly helped making a grand rally in Indian equity market.
Perhaps for the first time in more than two decades, domestic investors are more enthusiastic about Indian equities than foreign investors. Consequently, the market are moving higher despite intermittent selling by foreign investors.

Believe what you know

I have written on this many times earlier. Regardless, I find it important to reiterate my observations and thoughts on this once again.
I have been wandering through mesmerizing landscapes of India for past many years. The nomad hidden within me had coaxed me to many journeys. I would travel mostly aimlessly; enjoy various manifestations of the divine Mother Nature; acquaint myself with various people; appreciate their way of living; admire their culture; collect some souvenirs, recipes, anecdotes and come back into my cocoon- relaxed, happy and little wiser.
Nonetheless, in the process, I have developed a great appreciation for a variety of people - their varied customs & appearance - and usually felt comfortable even in a cross cultural environment. Subconsciously, I have invested significant efforts in identifying how other people are different from my own ways, rather than discovering the points of convergence. (If someone alleges that this is an act of racism – well I admit it certainly is.)
Most of these journeys have been fulfilling and contributed positively to my thoughts. However, one thing has always bothered me. Many times, I have been confronted with serious doubts about the “Indianness” of “India” and “Indians” as we understand these ideas in common discourse.
Deriving from my discussion on social, political and economic conditions with people of various regions, I doubt that the idea of “Indianness” perhaps only exists in films, army manuals, national holidays (26th January and 15th August), political speeches and patriotic songs. The compositions my children write describing “Unity in diversity” appear somewhat mythical to me.
I have discovered that after 70years of becoming a geopolitical union, India still remains merely the one. It is far from becoming a socio-economic union and even further from becoming a socio-political union.
I find a national approach to anything is conspicuous by its complete absence in general public discourse. People have strong dogmatic allegiance to their caste, religion, locality, region and state, generally in that order. I saw little evidence of any effort being invested by the system - local politicians, teachers, social workers, police or administrators - in developing an “Indian” identity of people.
The failure of national economic policy in recognizing this regional diversity is perhaps the primary reason for sub-optimal outcome of our efforts. No special efforts are needed to discover that most of the states, regions within states and communities within regions have diverse socio-economic behavior. Hence, their needs and requirements are also distinct. A blanket policy for all is therefore least likely to succeed in meeting its objectives.
The post 1947 political organization of the country on lingual basis appears to have outlived its utility. It is high time that our political and economic order should recognize this diversity and be re-designed.
In my view, an incremental approach (creating more states and districts) will not work. We need to begin from the beginning without any prejudice or reference....to continue
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