Thursday, July 12, 2018

If you find it tough, well it is!

"The world's been pretty good at coming up with new ways of doing things."
—James Mirrlees (Scottish, 1936-)
Word for the day
Solecism (n)
A breach of good manners or etiquette.
Any error, impropriety, or inconsistency
Malice towards none
Honestly, with hand on your heart, "Did you bet for France in FIFA finals"?
 
First random thought this morning
Past four weeks have been overwhelming for Indian sports lovers. Soccer, tennis, badminton, cricket, hockey, gymnastic etc have seen major events. India earned some glory in cricket, hockey and gymnastic.
Nonetheless, millions of people have remained busy following numerous sporting events. People have been opening newspapers from backside. New soccer stars have become household names, while TV channels have remained submerged in Mumbai floods, Burari suicides, and rapes.
No one is discussing or highlighting any economic distress or failing monsoon. All seems well and stock market continues to rise.

 If you find it tough, well it is!

At the risk of sounding irritatingly repetitive, I would like to reiterate that in past 7 decades we have focused too much on our weaknesses and tried hard to overcome these by importing technology, energy, intellectual property, capital, and consumption patterns. The root cause of many economic problems, e.g., current account deficit, fiscal deficit, energy deficiency, excessive dependence on external IPR & capital flows, etc. could be traced to this misplaced focus.
In my view, just by focusing on our intrinsic strengths, we can not only conveniently reverse the flow of trade to pre British era but also be successful in achieving our secular goals of sustainable and faster economic growth.
I have been suggesting that implementing the programs like the few illustrated below, we could improve the balance of payment substantially and structurally:
(a)   Indians spend approx USD25bn annually on education and related overseas travel. Creating 5 Special Education Zones (SEZ) with liberal VISA, forex, taxation and real estate ownership rules, and allowing foreign institutions to freely set up campuses could potentially reverse this flow. Students from India, far-east, middle-east and Africa who find it difficult to get VISA for US/UK etc. or find that expensive could also benefit from this. Our politicians have often spoken about recreating Nalanda and Takshila. This in my view is the easiest way to do that.
(b)   It is common knowledge that India holds tremendous potential for tourism. However lack of proper infrastructure and a holistic approach to harness the potential has traditionally constricted the growth of this sector. On the other hand Indian outbound tourists flow is rising. The government and hospitality sector entrepreneurs will have to think really big to reverse these flows and bring India on world tourism map. Developing some world class self contained international tourism centers, e.g., on lines of Macau, Bangkok, Dubai, Santorini, Las Vegas, etc. with liberal VISA, forex, taxation and real estate ownership could be the first step in this direction.
(c)    Vindavan, Tirupati, Varanasi, Gaya, etc. all have potential to be as desirable, venerable and popular destinations as Mecca, Vatican and Jerusalem.
Converting these centers of Indian religion and culture into self contained special zones with international airport, adequate number of high star category hotels, and annual event calendar could add substantially to India's external sector.
For example, Vrindavan can have two annual events Holi and Janamashtmi, when more than half million foreign tourist can visit the holy town
(d)   Considering the worsening demographic profile of rich countries in Europe and Japan, the rising need for healthcare assistants can be hardly emphasized more. Opening one world class nurse training institute in each state with special emphasis on teaching foreign languages to the trainees, may do the same wonders as ITeS did in last two decades.
(e)    Operating special incentive schemes for building global consumer brands may help in substantially enhancing the value of Indian exports. The government, for example, consider providing special incentives (tax rebates, promotion through government campaigns, etc.) for all locally developed consumer brands that are able to achieve more than US$500mn in merchandise sale in a year.
These projects also have the potential to generate large scale productive employment opportunity for local talent, besides contributing to economic growth and true globalization of Indian economy.
I acknowledge some of these suggestions may sound extremely difficult to implement in the current socio-political narrative. But then who said running a government in India is an easy task!

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