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Showing posts with the label Real Economy

Financial assets have two clear manifestation. Which one you see?

Continuing from yesterday ( see here ) Many readers have asked a very pertinent question, viz., "why the stock prices are not reflecting the economic reality?" It is a common knowledge that the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic and consequent socio-economic shutdown has caused extensive damage to After pondering over this question for many days, I have reached the following conclusions: All financial assets (Bonds, Equity, MF Units, Derivatives etc.) have two clear manifestations - (i) Interest in some underlying business(es) or loan to some underlying business with or without a charge on the assets; and (ii) independent commodity without any regard to the any underlying business or asset. When someone buys equity shares of a company with the intent of acquiring an interest in the underlying business of that company, he is considered an investor in that underlying business. He may use the services of stock broker or may buy directly from the company ...

Nothing looks outside of the realm of possibilities

Thirty years ago, the period between May 1990 and December 1990, was a watershed in global social, political and economic order. In the 7 months, the world changed the most in the post WWII era. For India, in particular that was a defining period in post independence history. In global context, some of the key events that took place in those seven months included the following: (a)    Apartheid ended in South Africa, marking the end of one of the darkest chapter in world history. (b)    The process of USSR dissolution begins. The Supreme Soviet of the Soviet Union grants Gorbachev special powers to secure the Soviet Union's transition to a market economy. (c)     Soviet Union collapse marked the end of a bipolar world that had divided the world in two camps in post WWII era. In the subsequent two decades, USA would reign over the world as the only super power. (d)    End of cold war between USA and USSR with...