Showing posts with label Rama. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rama. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

SIP lessons from traditional wisdom

India is entering the final stretch of the festive season. The symbolic victory of light over darkness is behind us; the wedding calendar is in full flow; preparations for Christmas and the New Year have begun. Financial markets, too, seem to have moved past a despondent summer, supported by improving global liquidity, softer inflation prints, and resilient domestic earnings.

This period also offers a moment for reflection. Every year, I revisit the legend of Rāma as narrated by Goswami Tulsidas in the Ramcharit Manas—not as mythology, but as behavioural wisdom. Hidden in its verses are principles that map surprisingly well to the discipline of Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs), especially for household investors.

The two lessons below may be familiar to regular readers, but they remain worth revisiting.

When to start SIP and how long to continue it

सम प्रकास तम पाख दुहुँ नाम भेद बिधि कीन्ह।
ससि सोषक पोषक समुझि जग जस अपजस दीन्ह।।

Tulsidas reminds us that light and darkness are equal in the waxing (Shukla Paksha) and waning (Krishna Paksha) phases of the moon. Yet society attaches meaning to these phases—one perceived as auspicious, the other as inauspicious.

Market cycles follow a similar rhythm. Prices rise, correct, consolidate and rise again—rarely in a straight line. Over long enough horizons, cycles compress into a trend; but in the short term, their emotional impact can be disproportionate.

For SIP investors, these oscillations are not an obstacle; they are the mechanism through which rupee-cost averaging works.

Your average purchase price eventually reflects both rising and falling markets, much like the moonlight that appears different despite being inherently balanced.

The key is simple:

·         Start early, because more cycles mean more averaging.

·         Continue consistently, because interruptions dilute the benefit.

·         Welcome temporary declines, as they lower long-term acquisition cost.

Where to do SIP

Investors often ask which asset is best suited for SIPs: an index fund, an ETF, or a diversified combination of large-cap, flexicap, midcap and small-cap strategies.

Tulsidas offers two metaphors that shed light on this question.

गगन चढ़इ रज पवन प्रसंगा।
कीचहिं मिलइ नीच जल संगा।।

A dust particle, when lifted by gentle winds, rises to the sky. The same particle, when carried by dirty, downward-flowing water, turns into filth.

सुरसरि जल कृत बारुनि जाना।
कबहुँ न संत करहिं तेहि पाना।।

Even when sacred water (Ganga Jal) is mixed with intoxicants, the wise refrain from consuming it.

These verses translate into two practical investment rules:

(a)   Choose Progressive Assets, Not Downward Currents

SIP behaviour works best with assets that possess:

·         sustainable cash flows,

·         sensible valuations,

·         healthy balance sheets, and

·         a structural growth runway.

Think of these as gentle winds. They may not deliver bursts of abnormal returns, but they compound steadily.

Low-quality, high-volatility assets—narratives without fundamentals, over-leveraged businesses, momentum-driven pockets—are the downward currents. They may rise briefly but rarely sustain wealth creation across cycles.

(b)   The Asset Manager Matters as Much as the Asset

A fundamentally sound asset in the hands of an undisciplined or style-drifting fund manager can become a source of needless volatility.

SIP investors should look for:

·         consistency of process,

·         risk discipline,

·         reasonable portfolio turnover, and

·         alignment with mandate.

The Ramayana conveys in metaphor what markets teach through experience:

The discipline to continue and the discernment to choose the right companions.

For SIP investors, these are the two non-negotiable pillars.

Start early. Continue through cycles. Choose assets that behave like gentle winds and managers who keep them that way.

Everything else is noise.

 

Tomorrow, I shall share my views on how long a SIP should be planned and continued.


Tuesday, August 5, 2025

Cart before the horse

“Life is about the journey, not the destination”. This is a popular quote (often attributed to Ralph Waldo Emerson) amongst motivational speakers, self-help and mindfulness coaches, therapists, and teachers. I have spent a good part of my life aimlessly wandering in the hinterlands of India. During these journeys I have learned a lot not only about my country, people, culture, traditions, treasures, and problems; but have also explored my inner self. I can therefore relate deeply with this saying.

However, a grave situation could arise when governments, businesses and other institutions begin to take this saying seriously; not realizing that it is about self-help and mindfulness at an individual level. Policy makers and institutions focusing on journeys rather than destinations may frustrate millions, depending on them for governance and livelihood, by causing avoidable agony and making their lives miserable.

Unfortunately, prima facie, our governments have been taking this saying too seriously. Their planning process appears to be focusing too much on means rather than goals. They have been putting the cart in front of the horse, not reaching anywhere or moving extremely slowly.

Let me explain with a few examples.

Constructing fancy buildings instead of character and scientific temper

The government has set a goal of constructing institutions like IITs, IIMs and AIIMS. Whereas, the goal should have been making Indians educated and healthy, in order to help them in developing a scientific temper (fundamental duty of citizens as per the Constitution).

Primary school is the place where you develop the character and temper of a child. And unfortunately, that is the place which is being ignored the most.

Merely constructing fancy buildings to produce graduates with little scientific temper and lacking in basic sense of inquiry does not serve any goal. A number of top engineering graduates pursue a management degree immediately after completing graduation, and they aspire for a banking job. This clearly shows that the selection process of engineering institutes like IITs is completely flawed and does not serve the purpose. A student who does not aspire to become a top class engineer to drive innovation and inquiry, should get eliminated at the application stage itself.

Similarly, a fully equipped primary health center in each village could eliminate the need for 50 AIIMS like institutions, and make the country much healthier. Building AIIMS, when diabetes, cancer, Vitamin B12 and D deficiencies, etc. have already assumed epidemic proportions, makes little sense.

Awarding national awards to actors who have been actively promoting consumption of tobacco, cause of thousands of untimely deaths every year, while focusing on constructing AIIMS in every state clearly indicate towards goal incongruence.

GDP is statistics not development

Celebrating the absolute GDP number and taking comfort in a growth rate that is higher relative to other economies, is also superfluous. The policy goal should be to improve the quality of life of every citizen to a certain level of comfort and dignity. Statistics like GDP growth should be left to the agencies monitoring the achievement of this goal. Government focusing on GDP growth is purely a distraction from the primary goal, i.e., “to minimize the inequalities in income, status, facilities and opportunities (as per the directive principles of the constitution)”. The government should monitor and report the progress in achievement of this goal rather than throwing random and meaningless numbers like $5trn and $10trn.

Medal and sports

The government has apparently set a goal to win a certain number of medals in the international sporting events like Olympics, Asian Games etc.

The goal of the policy should ideally be to promote sporting habits in the citizens, especially children, in order to make/keep them healthy, and help them develop characteristics like brotherhood, team spirit, harmony (as per fundamental duties prescribed in the constitution). Winning medals is just a by-product of sporting habits, which a few young people, who choose sports as a career, might win in due course. This cannot be a policy goal in a country like India.

Temple vs Character

The government has celebrated the construction of a grand Lord Rama’s temple at his birth place in Ayodhya, as one of its main achievements. The point is what should be the policy goal – building temples or building Lord Rama like character in the citizens of the country.

Lord Rama was anointed king of Ayodhya, but left the throne for his younger brother to honor the words of his father. He defeated Bali, but left the throne of Kishkindha to Bali’s younger brother Sugriva. He defeated Ravana, but left his kingdom Lanka for his younger brother, Vibhishana.

However, the outcome of the Ayodhya temple is that the followers of Lord Rama have become aggressive in their pursuit of taking possession of several other religious buildings for constructing temples at the expense of social harmony, common brotherhood, and peace.

An ideal policy goal would have been to develop Lord Rama like character in all primary school students, such that every household becomes a temple. The temple at Ayodhya should be used as an epitome of strong character not as an excuse for jingoistic nationalism.

These are just a few examples, where the government policies are like cart before horse. Everyone is enjoying the journey without going anywhere!!!