Sunday, February 1, 2026

Union Budget FY27 – Business like

 Today, the finance minister presented what, in my view, is one of the most business-like and forward-thinking budgets of the past decade. The focus is not on short-term populism but on the long-term health of the Indian economy. This budget comes at a critical juncture, as India faces both emerging global challenges and the demand for sustainable growth.

A Pragmatic Approach: Focused on the Long-Term

The 2026-2027 budget continues with prudent fiscal policies and sustainable growth. However, unlike previous years, where political considerations often shaped budget proposals, this year’s speech was strikingly business-like and direct. The finance minister effectively communicated that the government recognizes the challenges India faces—from a volatile global economy to infrastructure bottlenecks. Importantly, the proposals focus on addressing these challenges through reforms rather than quick fixes.

The budget makes significant strides in cutting down subsidies, ensuring fiscal discipline, and maintaining a neutral stance on tax buoyancy. It avoids populist rhetoric and lays a clear path for growth, leveraging India’s key strengths, such as labor-intensive legacy manufacturing and the untapped potential of sectors like tourism and electronics manufacturing.

Key Highlights

Fiscal Discipline Meets Growth

The government demonstrates clear awareness of current challenges while charting a path to sustainable growth. By cutting subsidies and maintaining strict fiscal discipline, the budget keeps tax buoyancy neutral - a refreshing change from previous years.

Despite the challenges posed by global uncertainties, the government has maintained the fiscal deficit target at 4.3% of GDP for 2026-27

Playing to India's Strengths

The budget strategically focuses on:

·         Labor-intensive manufacturing - India's traditional strength

·         Tourism potential - an underutilized asset

·         Legacy manufacturing sectors - areas where India has proven capabilities

Addressing Critical Challenges

Strategic allocations for:

·         Rare earth minerals development

·         Data centers and cloud services infrastructure

·         Electronics manufacturing ecosystem

·         Simplified regulatory framework for services sector

Market Reforms, Trust-Based Taxation and Clarity

The budget introduces several progressive measures:

·         Curbing securities market speculation by increasing STT on derivatives (options: 0.10% → 0.15%; futures: 0.02% → 0.05%)

·         Tax Decriminalization: Multiple offenses decriminalized or downgraded from rigorous to simple imprisonment. Monetary thresholds introduced (10 lakh, 50 lakh) for criminal prosecution. Focus shifts from punishment to compliance.

·         TCS burden eased: TCS provisions rationalized (uniform 2% rate for most categories).

·         Buyback tax relief for minority shareholders: Removed from dividend definition. Minority shareholders to pay LTCG/STCG and Promoters to pay full tax.

·         Dividend harvesting rules tightened: Exemption for interest paid on money borrowed to acquire mutual fund units or earn dividend income removed.

·         IT services classification clarified

Infrastructure & Development Push

Urban Development: Material budget enhancement with municipal bond provisions giving fiscal autonomy to local governments

Logistics Revolution

·         High-speed rail corridors

·         Enhanced inland waterways development

·         Tonnage tax benefits extended to inland vessels

Defense

Significant allocation increase recognizing security imperatives

Financial Sector Reforms

The budget proposes fundamental restructuring:

·         REC and PFC reorganization

·         High-level committee for comprehensive banking reforms

·         Signal for next-generation financial sector architecture

Political Optics: The Gandhi Gambit

Introduction of a Mahatma Gandhi-named scheme demonstrates political acumen - addressing opposition concerns while maintaining fiscal discipline.

Market Reaction & Long-term Implications

Initial Negative Response:

STT hike on derivatives

Dividend harvesting rule changes (Section 93 amendment removing interest deduction)

Short-term trader concerns

Long-term Positives:

·         Encourages genuine long-term investing

·         Addresses FII concerns about policy clarity

·         Improves FDI sentiment through regulatory simplification

·         Strengthens India's investment case

Taxation: The New Regime

Income Tax:

·         No rate changes - stability emphasized

·         Enhanced compliance deadlines (revised returns: 9→12 months)

·         Updated return provisions clarified

·         Fee structure rationalized

International Taxation:

Co-operative society definition expanded

IFSC benefits extended (10→20 years)

Federal co-operative dividend taxation clarified

Sovereign Gold Bond exemption refined (LTCG benefit only on redemption not on market sale)

MAT Overhaul:

Rate reduced: 15% → 14%

MAT becomes final tax in old regime

Credit carry-forward: 15 years, 25% annual limit

Conclusion

This budget represents a paradigm shift from populism to pragmatism. While markets may react negatively to anti-speculation measures in the short term, the long-term foundations are remarkably solid.

For investors: Stay the course. This budget rewards patience and punishes speculation - exactly what India needs for sustainable growth.