Tuesday, April 20, 2021

The new paradigm

 Over past couple of weeks, I had exciting interactions with some professionals from the IT capital (Bengaluru), Pharma Capital (Hyderabad), Engineering capital (Chennai), Financial Capital (Mumbai) and political capital (Delhi) of India. From these interactions I learned that a definite new paradigm is emerging in Indian commercial space. The following are some key take away from my interactions:

1.    Traditionally, a majority of Indian entrepreneurs have not aimed for global scale in their businesses. Despite a rich history in the areas like culinary and textile, few businesses of global recognitions and scale could be created in these areas. However, now the first generation entrepreneurs have materially widened their vision. Many of them are now working on business ideas with global markets and scale in sight. No eye now widens on the mention billion dollar figures.

2.    The skills in Artificial Intelligence are becoming common place. In late 1990s Indian youth acquired skills in basic programing and coding of computer programs. This helped them crossing ocean in hoards and make a good career. A similar phenomenon is developing in artificial intelligence skills. The difference however is that unlike 1990s, now a large proportion of the young professionals want to become entrepreneur of independent professionals. They are not looking just good salary. I am sure a few of them would certainly be able to repeat the fables of Bill Gates, Jack Ma, Jeff Bezos et. al.

3.    The best part is that there is a strong start up ecosystem already in place. There are numerous investors who are willing to risk money on a good idea. Not many are looking at government for support. In fact, if I were to take my sample as representative, the only support neo entrepreneurs are seeking from the government is (i) less interference; and (ii) supportive tax structure.

4.    A lot of people of Indian origin, who are settled abroad are positive on Indian skills and entrepreneurship. They are helping the new ideas with financial and technical support. Many of them appear to be keen to have substantial exposure to Indian startup ecosystem.

5.    Though, the visibility of startups in technology enabled financial services (FinTech), retail, food delivery, and gaming is highest, some amazing developments are happening in the area of agriculture technologies, space technology, engineering design, water management, logistics management, pharmaceutical research and healthcare.

After this round of discussions, I am even more convinced that we have already entered into a business and economic paradigm. I believe that over next couple of decades, maximum value creation shall happen in businesses with technology leadership. Intellectual property shall derive significantly higher premium over conventional property. “Services” will continue to be key driver of economy rather than “Goods”; notwithstanding the government’s focus on manufacturing and construction.

On the negative side, the pace of elimination of smaller businesses, which cannot invest in technology and are not equipped to become ancillary of a large business, will continue to accelerate. The inequalities shall rise on multiple levels – economic, skills, access and opportunity.

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