Thursday, June 4, 2020

Bits and pieces policy changes may not yield desired results



The government has announced a spate of policy measures to put the economy back on the growth path. The measures and intent to encourage manufacturing in the country is however the most publicized and discussed about policy initiative. It is a clear departure from the extant policy of global cooperation and using bilateral and multilateral trade agreements to benefit from the resources and manufacturing prowess of partner countries ,
So far, we have not seen a comprehensive policy framework for the policy initiative. The basic principle of management would guide that to execute such a major policy intuitive, which may have significant impact on the lives of 140cr people, the planners must first lay down a detailed conceptual framework, which defines in very unambiguous terms, at least the following:
(a)   The need for such policy initiative; especially the circumstances that have necessaitated the significant change in the policy direction and intent;
(b)   The objectives of the proposed policy initiative, especially specifying how the various stakeholders would specifically benefit fro the change;
(c)    The deliverable goals of the policy initiatives, clearly defining the quantitative and qualitative target and timeframe for achieving the specified targets;
(d)   Strategy to meet the objectives and goals, clearly defining the legal, regulatory, administrative, procedural, social and behavioral changes that would be prerequisite and/or desirable for achieving the objectives and goals of the policy initiatives; how the government proposes to implement these changes and what could be the hindrances in implementing these changes, etc.
(e)    The programs that would be implemented for achieving the objectives & goals; the budget for these programs, executing and controlling authorities and review mechanism;
(f)    The cost and benefit analysis of the proposed policy shift; specifically outlining the exit conditions and costs should the changes are found to be not working as planned.
The incumbent government had initially proposed the policy change to promote local manufacturing under its "Make in India" initiative in 2014. In six years, the government has not presented any comprehensive conceptual framework for it; though the NITI Aayog has issued some broad vision documents. There have been many scattered efforts to encourage investment in manufacturing sector, ) most prominent being the restructuring of corporate tax rates), and cluster development; we have not seen any a coordinated effort that would be usually needed for such a massive policy paradigm shift. To the contrary there have been many disparate actions by different organs of the government, defeating the very purpose of the policy itself.
The recently issued draft directive to ban production, transport sale and import of 27 popular agro chemicals is just one point in case. Significant capacities for these chemicals have been built in past few years only. The totally arbitrary decision to suddenly put a blanket ban on these products does not augur well for the policy intent of the government. Similarly, recently a circular was issued to ban sale of 1026 products which are imported in Semi Knocked Unit (SKU) condition in the police and para military canteens. The circular was withdrawn in couple of days. Apparently, two departments of the same ministry were not talking to each other on important policy issue.
Various organs of the government are giving different explanation of the policy intent itself. "make in India"; "Make for India", Make in India for the World", Self Reliance"; "India as a hub of Global Supply Chain" are some of the popular connotations. This does not show that we are going to have a paradigm shift in policy; may be just few bits and pieces here and there.

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