Thursday, March 28, 2013

The retail conundrum - IV


The retail conundrum - IV

In past three days we have highlighted that the debate on indifference of household investors towards the publicly traded equity is not only inadequate but perhaps misdirected also. Our informal survey of some brokerages who primarily deal with household clients and many of their clients highlighted many structural and systemic reasons for their disenchantment with the listed equities.

In fact regulator and the government authorities took cognizance of some of these reasons in recent past, and we do have yet seen a few steps being taken. But we are still some distance from finding a sustainable cure the malice. Some of the reasons that we found are worth noting and act upon are listed below:

(a)   In past two decade, since the capital controls were removed, listed equities have not been able to match the returns provided by traditional sources of investment like real estate and gold. A deeper study would reveal that the rise in market capitalization during these two decades is mostly due to rise in quantum of publicly traded equity rather than rise in earnings or PE re-rating.

(b)   The mutual fund and insurance industry has grossly and consistently failed the investors in these two decades. Except for 2-3 fund houses, most fund managers have performed briefly and only during the bubble like conditions.

(c)   Regulatory framework has evolved over past couple of decades and is robust enough to prevent any systemic collapse in the trade settlement. However, it has still not been able to effectively break the malevolent promoter-operator nexus, causing frequent cases of price manipulation.




(Source: InvesTrekk Research, BSE, World Gold Council, Value Research)

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