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Growth normalizing in a lower orbit

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As per the latest national accounts data released last week, the economic growth of India appears to be normalizing in 6.5% +/- 0.3% band. Optically, this growth rate may appear decent; but is insufficient for achieving the target of catapulting the Indian economy into a higher orbit and sustaining the status of a middle-income economy. After recording a higher growth rate of 8.8% CAGR for three years (FY22 to FY24) on a low base of Covid affected FY20 and FY21, the FY25 growth is estimated to be 6.5%. The consensus estimates for FY26e growth are also hovering around 6.5%. From the internals of the economic data, it appears that growth trajectory of the Indian economy is settling in the current band, just like we spent decades in the 3-4% growth band in the pre-reform (1990s) era. Any effort to accelerate the economic growth would require transformative socio-economic reforms in the next five years.   Some critical points that need to be watched closely from the perspective of grow...

Celebrating the disaster!

 Do you remember Tulsi Bhabhi, the protagonist in one of the most popular TV soaps on Indian television? The character was adored by all as it was widely considered to be an epitome of quintessential Indian – caring, selfless, affectionate, tolerant, accommodating, and family person. Even though there are plenty of Indians who may not exactly match this description, but a vast majority does find these characteristics desirable to have. In our cinema and literature, protagonists are not only expected to possess these characteristics; but they are also supposed to demonstrate these in a rather non- subtle manner. Most of the successful and admired product promotion campaigns also target this emotional aspect of Indian populace. The sellers of Insurance, Chocolates, clothes, jewellery, steel, cement, adhesives, real estate, trucks, motor cycles, cars, etc., all try hard to touch the emotional cord of consumer. I am sure all politicians and bureaucrats are cognizant of this phenome...