Direct tax and budget populism
It is an annual ritual to seek tax relief, exemptions and incentives from the finance minister before presentation of the annual budget. The expectations of tax favors are particularly stronger in election years, as taxpayers and market participants are led by the belief that the government may be gratuitous to allure voters. There is however no empirical evidence of any correlation between the direct tax regime and government populism. The fact is that the population that is materially affected by direct tax laws is not significant to the election outcome. The recently released Direct Tax Statistics by the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) shows that income taxpayers in India may not be a group of interest from a general election view point. For example, consider the following points evident from the said statistics: No. of taxpayers: In AY23 only 8.91crore individuals paid some income tax (including TDS) in India. This is less than 10% of the total eligible voters in India. T...